Swedish election ends in near dead heat; preliminary results give opposition 1-seat majority

Sweden’s national election was too close to call early on Monday (September 14, 2026), with preliminary results giving the left-wing opposition a razor-thin one-seat advantage over Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson’s right wing coalition and days of uncertainty until the final ballots are counted.

Preliminary results showed a very narrow lead for the opposition and former Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson’s bid to return to office at the head of the left coalition. But Mr. Kristersson also said he would explore “possibilities” given the close result.

With 92% of the vote counted early on Monday (September 14), the Swedish Election Authority reported the four opposition parties were heading for 175 seats in the 349-seat parliament to 174 seats for the government alliance.

The outcome of the election may not be decided until Wednesday (September 16), when local election boards count early votes that did not make it to the polling stations by Election Day. This includes, among others things, overseas votes.

Ms. Andersson told supporters that “we must wait for the final election result” but added that “right now we are leading … But we have to wait for the final result.” Mr. Kristersson has led Sweden since 2022 with a three-party centre-right coalition. It relied on outside support from the Sweden Democrats, an anti-immigration party that has far-right roots but has moved toward the political mainstream, for a parliamentary majority. The Sweden Democrats had been promised Cabinet posts this time if the governing coalition were returned to office.

“When we have the final result it’s a good idea to look at possible combinations,” he said early on Monday (September 14), adding that “there is a very clear non-socialist majority, or non-left leaning economic majority in the Swedish parliament. And I will actually take note of that and at least figure out whether there are any possibilities.” Sweden Democrat’s leader Jimmie Åkesson said that “we will not know tonight” who will form the next government. The party’s support slipped almost 3% from its 2022 result of 20.5% and it fell from second to third place.

Exit polls from public broadcaster SVT had initially shown the left-wing parties ahead by several percentage points. The exit polls set off jubilation at the Social Democrats’ election gathering but the mood shifted to quiet waiting as the results indicated a closer race.

The centre left Social Democrats have led most Swedish governments since World War II. Ms. Andersson served as Prime Minister from 2021 until she lost power at the last election. To return to office she would have to seal a coalition agreement with other parties.

There are two major political blocs: one with four parties on the right and another with four parties on the left. So the big question is less about which party wins and more about which side can form a majority. Individual parties need a minimum of 4% of the vote to win parliamentary seats.

With broad political consensus in Sweden on several major issues such as support for Ukraine and the country’s decision to join NATO, much election discussion focused on the possibility of the anti-immigration hard right entering government. The Sweden Democrats’ role was in focus against a background of gains for the populist right in Europe, including the first-place finish by the far-right Alternative for Germany party in a regional election there on September 6.

The Sweden Democrats were founded in the 1980s by people who had been active in right-wing extremist groups, including neo-Nazis. They toned down their rhetoric and expelled openly racist members under Mr. Åkesson, who has led them since 2005 and overseen their growth from what was once a marginal party.

More than 8 million people in the nation of about 10.6 million were eligible to vote.