South Korean stocks sank Wednesday (December 4, 2024) while the won rebounded from earlier losses after President Yoon Suk Yeol dramatically declared martial law overnight before reversing the decision hours later.
The shock announcement sent shivers through the trading floor in Seoul and fuelled a political crisis in Asia’s third-biggest economy, with the Opposition party saying it had submitted a motion to impeach Yoon.
Investors are now keeping a close eye on developments in the country, with analysts pointing out that the upheaval comes as authorities steeled for the second United States Presidency of Donald Trump who has vowed to reignite his hardball trade policy.
The Kospi index ended down more than one percent, having shed as much as 2.3% at the open, as traders fretted over the impact of Mr. Yoon declaring South Korea’s first martial law in more than four decades.
He said the decision was made “to safeguard a liberal South Korea from the threats posed by North Korea’s communist forces and to eliminate Anti-State elements plundering people’s freedom and happiness”.
However, he backed down hours later when lawmakers voted to oppose the declaration, while thousands of protesters took to the streets and the Nation’s largest umbrella labour union called an “indefinite general strike” until Mr. Yoon resigned.
The won tumbled more than three percent to a two-year low of 1,444 per dollar after the declaration, then bounced back to around 1,410 following the U-turn.
“Rarely does a combined sell-off in a Country’s stocks, bonds and currency feel like a relief rally,” said Thomas Mathews, head of Asia-Pacific markets at Capital Economics.
Mr. Mathews said the situation could have been “much worse” had the President not aborted his plan.
“Investors now ‘only’ have to worry about a period of significant Political uncertainty,” he said.
The South Korean Finance Ministry and Central Bank looked to provide stability and reassure markets.
“As announced together with the Government, it has been decided to temporarily supply sufficient liquidity until the financial and foreign exchange markets stabilise,” the Bank of Korea said.
It added that “the range of securities eligible for repurchase agreement (repo) transactions and the target institutions will be expanded”.
Deputy Prime Minister Choi Sang-mok, who also holds the economy portfolio, said Financial Authorities will keep International partners informed about developments.
But Michael Wan at Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group warned of remaining uncertainty, despite the measures to recover from the initial economic hit.
“From a macro perspective, South Korea was already one of the more vulnerable countries to the impact of Trump’s proposed tariffs,” he said in a commentary.
“This recent development could raise some further risk premium on the currency at least until we get clarity on Political stability,” he added.
The losses in Seoul came on a mixed day for Asia markets, with Tokyo, Singapore, Taipei, Mumbai and Jakarta rising but Shanghai, Sydney, Wellington, Bangkok and Manila falling. Hong Kong was marginally lower.
London fell at the open, while Frankfurt hit another fresh record after ending Tuesday (December 3, 2024) above 20,000 for the first time.
Wall Street had provided a healthy lead, with the S&P (Standard & Poor’s) 500 and Nasdaq hitting fresh records as investors try to assess the chances of the Federal Reserve slashing interest rates again this month.
Even Paris eked out gains despite the brewing Political crisis in France, where opposition lawmakers vowed to topple the three-month-old minority Government of Prime Minister Michel Barnier in a no-confidence vote owing to a budget standoff.
The euro remained wedged just above a 14-month low on concerns about the outlook for the eurozone’s number two economy.
Oil prices extended gains after surging around 2.5% Tuesday (December 3, 2024) on reports that major producers at the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+) grouping were close to a deal to extend output limits.
Key figures around 0810 GMT
Seoul – Kospi Index: DOWN 1.4% at 2,464.00
Tokyo – Nikkei 225: UP 0.1% at 39,276.39
Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: FLAT at 19,742.46
Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 0.4% at 3,364.65
London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.1% at 8,353.21
Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.0508 from $1.0511 on Tuesday (December 3, 2024)
Pound/dollar: UP at $1.2679 from $1.2673
Dollar/yen: UP at 150.30 yen from 149.53 yen
Euro/pound: DOWN at 82.90 from 82.94 pence
West Texas Intermediate: UP 0.3% at $70.12 per barrel
Brent North Sea Crude: UP 0.3% at $73.85 per barrel
New York – Dow: DOWN 0.2% at 44,705.53
Published – December 04, 2024 04:52 pm IST
