trump tariffs on india – Artifex.News https://artifex.news Stay Connected. Stay Informed. Mon, 01 Sep 2025 14:00:00 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.8.2 https://artifex.news/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/cropped-Artifex-Round-32x32.png trump tariffs on india – Artifex.News https://artifex.news 32 32 Trump claims India has ‘offered’ to cut tariffs to nothing https://artifex.news/article70000439-ece/ Mon, 01 Sep 2025 14:00:00 +0000 https://artifex.news/article70000439-ece/ Read More “Trump claims India has ‘offered’ to cut tariffs to nothing” »

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“India buys most of its oil and military products from Russia, very little from the U.S.,” President Donald Trump said. File
| Photo Credit: AP

U.S. President Donald Trump on Monday (September 1, 2025) claimed that India has now “offered” to cut its tariffs to nothing, “but it’s getting late”, as he said that India buys most of its oil and military products from Russia and very little from the U.S.

“What few people understand is that we do very little business with India, but they do a tremendous amount of business with us,” Mr. Trump said in a post on Truth Social.

He added that India sells to the U.S., its biggest “client”, “massive” amounts of goods, “but we sell them very little – Until now a totally one-sided relationship, and it has been for many decades.”

“The reason is that India has charged us, until now, such high tariffs, the most of any country, that our businesses are unable to sell into India,” he said. “It has been a totally one-sided disaster! Also, India buys most of its oil and military products from Russia, very little from the U.S. They have now offered to cut their Tariffs to nothing, but it’s getting late. They should have done so years ago. Just some simple facts for people to ponder!!!” Mr. Trump said.

Mr. Trump’s comments come as Prime Minister Narendra Modi held bilateral discussions with Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit in Tianjin.

The Mr. Trump administration has imposed 25% reciprocal tariffs on India and an additional 25% levies for Delhi’s purchases of Russian oil, bringing the total duties imposed on India to 50%, among the highest in the world.

India has called the tariffs imposed by the U.S. “unjustified and unreasonable”. New Delhi said that, like any major economy, it will take all necessary measures to safeguard its national interests and economic security.

Prime Minister Modi has asserted he can’t compromise on the interests of farmers, cattle-rearers, small-scale industries, cautioning “pressure on us may increase, but we will bear it”.





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Textile, leather, gems and jewellery stocks decline in morning trade https://artifex.news/article69983579-ece/ Thu, 28 Aug 2025 06:38:00 +0000 https://artifex.news/article69983579-ece/ Read More “Textile, leather, gems and jewellery stocks decline in morning trade” »

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Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) in Mumbai.
| Photo Credit: REUTERS

Textile, leather, gems and jewellery stocks declined on Thursday morning trade as the steep 50% tariff on Indian goods entering the United States came into effect.

Shares of Alok Industries tanked 4.13%, Raymond Lifestyle fell by 3.66%, Siyaram Silk Mills dropped 2.92%, Welspun Living declined 2.53%, Gokaldas Exports went lower by 2.35% and Trident Ltd dipped 2.16% on the BSE.

Among leather and footwear stocks, Zenith Exports tumbled 4.33%, Relaxo Footwears dropped 2.34%, Superhouse Ltd slipped 1% and Khadim India dipped 0.77%.

The steep 50% tariff on Indian goods entering the United States, which came into effect from August 27, would impact exports worth more than $48 billion.

The sectors which would bear the brunt of the high import duties imposed by the Trump administration include textiles/clothing, gems and jewellery, shrimp, leather and footwear, animal products, chemicals, and electrical and mechanical machinery.

Among gems and jewellery stocks, Uday Jewellery Industries fell 2.49%, Senco Gold dropped 2.20%, Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri declined 1.87% and P N Gadgil Jewellers dipped 1.10%.

In the equity market, the 30-share BSE Sensex tanked 693.02 points to 80,093.52 during morning trade. The 50-share NSE Nifty dived 204.85 points to 24,507.20.



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U.S. tariff impact: India sees Asia’s biggest earnings downgrades https://artifex.news/article69963187-ece/ Fri, 22 Aug 2025 00:39:00 +0000 https://artifex.news/article69963187-ece/ Read More “U.S. tariff impact: India sees Asia’s biggest earnings downgrades” »

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Analysis by MUFG indicates that a sustained 50% tariff could cut India’s GDP growth by 1 percentage point over time, with the biggest hit to employment-sensitive sectors such as textiles.
| Photo Credit: Getty Images/istockphoto

Indian companies have seen the steepest earnings downgrades in Asia, with analysts slashing forecasts as steep U.S. tariffs heighten risks to growth even if proposed domestic tax cuts help cushion the impact.

According to LSEG IBES data, forward 12-month earnings estimates for India’s large and mid-cap firms have been cut by 1.2% in the past two weeks, the sharpest in Asia.

The cuts follow a lacklustre season of quarterly earnings reports extending a bout of weakness among listed firms which kicked off last year and has hurt benchmark equity indexes.

India’s economy is largely domestic and firms which are part of the Nifty 50 index earn only 9% of revenue from the U.S. but the tariff hike to as high as 50% on exports to the world’s largest economy presents a risk to economic growth.

Analysis by MUFG indicates that a sustained 50% tariff could cut India’s GDP growth by 1 percentage point over time, with the biggest hit to employment-sensitive sectors such as textiles.

Looking to buoy domestic consumption, Prime Minister Narendra Modi recently announced sweeping tax reforms to boost the economy in the face of a trade conflict with Washington.

“It’s a little bit of an interesting time given what’s happened with the tariffs that have been imposed on India,” said Raisah Rasid, global market strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

Valuations are still elevated and “we could potentially see the tariff triggering a broad valuation re-rating downwards and make some of the domestic oriented stocks attractive,” she said.

Earnings growth for Indian companies has been in single-digit percentages for five consecutive quarters, below the 15%–25% growth seen between 2020–21 and 2023–24.

Following the April-June earnings announcements, forward 12-month net income forecasts for automobiles and components, capital goods, food and beverages, and consumer durables sectors saw the deepest cuts in earnings estimates, each down about 1% or more, the data showed.

The government’s plans to lower consumption taxes are also expected to boost the country’s GDP growth. Economists at Standard Chartered pencil in a boost of 0.35-0.45 percentage points in the fiscal year ending in March 2027.

India’s real GDP growth averaged 8.8% between fiscal 2022 and 2024, the highest in Asia-Pacific. It is projected to grow at 6.8% annually over the next three years.

Bank of America’s latest fund manager survey shows that India has tumbled from the most-favoured to the least-preferred Asian equity market in just two months.

“After disappointing earnings growth of only 6% in 2024, the pace of recovery remains sluggish in 2025, as indicated by both the economic growth parameters and corporate earnings,” said Rajat Agarwal, Asia equity strategist at Societe Generale.



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Russia welcomes Wang Yi’s visit and the positive turn in India-China ties https://artifex.news/article69956799-ece/ Wed, 20 Aug 2025 20:28:00 +0000 https://artifex.news/article69956799-ece/ Read More “Russia welcomes Wang Yi’s visit and the positive turn in India-China ties” »

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Roman Babushkin, charge d’affaires at the Russian embassy in India, attends a press conference in New Delhi, India, August 20, 2025.
| Photo Credit: Reuters

Russia has welcomed Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi’s visit to India and the positive turn in India-China relations, a senior Russian diplomat said here on Wednesday (August 20, 2025). Addressing a press meeting at the Russian Embassy, senior Russian diplomats further said that India-Russia energy trade has not been impacted by U.S. President Trump’s penalty tariffs targeting India, and that Russia currently supplies more than 40% of India’s total crude oil demands. They also said that Russia would step up cooperation in India’s defence sector and participate in the development of jet engines and the multi-layered air-defence system – Sudarshan Chakra.

“We welcome the very successful visit by Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi,” said Roman Babushkin, Chargé d’affairesat the Russian Embassy, highlighting the need for stronger ties among members of the BRICS and the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO). The senior Russian official, accompanied by Russia’s Deputy Trade Commissioner in India, Evgeny Griva, said that BRICS member countries can come up with a collective response to the tariffs imposed by Mr. Trump.

He further described the additional tariff imposed on India as “illegal” and “unlawful” tools that “disrespect national interests”. He highlighted the need for closer cooperation among countries in the Global South to deal with global challenges.

Russian President Vladimir Putin would visit New Delhi as part of the annual Russia-India summit though the dates are yet to be finalised.

The remarks from the Russian embassy set the political, military and economic backdrop of India-Russia relations as External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar reached Moscow to hold a conversation with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov.

The enhanced conversation between senior officials of India, China and Russia is balancing the uncertain trade relations between India and the U.S.

Following the start of the Ukraine crisis, Russia had reconfigured its economy by becoming a major supplier of energy to China and India, and a positive turn in India-China ties aligns better for Russia’s global moves and sets the stage for a major meeting along the RIC – Russia-India-China – format.

However, the Russian official declined to give a timeline for a Russia-India-China summit, saying that such a meeting would take place at the “right time”, though he said the leaders of the three nations will meet in Tianjin, where the Heads of State Council meeting of Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) would take place during August 31-September 1.

“You will never see sanctions imposed by Russia or within BRICS organisations where we collectively participate. Non-United Nations sanctions and secondary sanctions are illegal. They only serve to weaponise the economy. Despite sanctions, the Russian economy is growing. It means that you cannot exclude from the global economy a big and important country such as Russia with its tremendous energy, industrial and human potential,” said Mr. Babushkin describing BRICS as a “stabilising force”.

The senior Russian diplomat urged Indian producers to reach out to the Russian market in view of the tariffs from the U.S. that tighten access to the American market. He described the energy ties between India and Russia as having remained unaffected by tariffs and sanctions from the U.S. and the EU, as India-Russia energy trade uses a “very special mechanism” to bypass Western sanctions. He added that India currently receives more than 40% of its total crude oil supplies from Russia and hinted at discounts in India’s purchase of Russian crude saying that a “5% swing is possible subject to negotiation”.

The senior official said, “Russia is a partner of choice for India’s defence sector”, and that it has been working on the Make in India vision since the 1980s. He assured that Russia will participate in future jet engine projects as well as in building the Sudarshan Chakra, the multi-layered missile defence system that was announced by Prime Minister Narendra Modi in his Independence Day speech. Mr Babushkin highlighted the S400 air defence system and said these systems underwent “very successful battle test” during Operation Sindoor when India fought a brief war with Pakistan in May.



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MSMEs in textiles, diamonds, chemicals to be most hit by U.S. tariffs: CRISIL Intelligence https://artifex.news/article69954899-ece/ Wed, 20 Aug 2025 07:55:00 +0000 https://artifex.news/article69954899-ece/ Read More “MSMEs in textiles, diamonds, chemicals to be most hit by U.S. tariffs: CRISIL Intelligence” »

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Representational image only.
| Photo Credit: Vijay Soneji

“The imposition of higher tariffs by the U.S. will significantly impact the Micro, Small and Medium Enterprise (MSME) sector, which accounts for around 45% of India’s exports, while MSMEs in textiles, diamonds and chemicals are likely to be the most hit,” a report by CRISIL Intelligence said.

“The U.S. levies ad valorem duty of 25% on Indian goods. However, it has imposed an additional 25% tariff which will be effective from August 27 this year. This brings the total tariffs to 50%, which will have a meaningful impact on several sectors in India,” the report said.

“Textiles, gems and jewellery, which account for 25% of India’s exports to the U.S., are likely to be most affected. The MSMEs have more than 70% share in these sectors and will be hit hard,” the report said. Another sector which is likely to face the heat is chemicals, where MSMEs have a 40% share.

“The gems and jewellery sector at Surat in Gujarat, which dominates diamond exports, will feel the tariff shock,” the report said. “Diamonds account for more than 50% of the country’s gems and jewellery exports, and the U.S. is a major consumer,” according to the report.

In chemicals too, India faces competition from Japan and South Korea which are subject to lower tariffs. In steel, the U.S. tariffs are expected to have a negligible impact on the MSMEs as the units are mostly engaged in re-rolling and long products. The U.S. primarily imports flat products from India.

In the textiles sector, the ready-made garments are expected to lose ground in the U.S. compared to peers including Bangladesh and Vietnam which face lower tariffs.



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Trump imposed tariffs on India to end Russia-Ukraine war, says White House https://artifex.news/article69954449-ece/ Wed, 20 Aug 2025 02:59:00 +0000 https://artifex.news/article69954449-ece/ Read More “Trump imposed tariffs on India to end Russia-Ukraine war, says White House” »

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White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt speaks with reporters at the White House on August 19, 2025.
| Photo Credit: AP

White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt on Tuesday (August 19, 2025) said that U.S. President Donald Trump has imposed sanctions on India to bring an end to the Russia-Ukraine war.

“The President has put tremendous public pressure to bring this war to a close. He has taken actions as you seen sanctions on India and other actions as well. He has made himself very clear that he wants to see this war end,” she added.

Earlier, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Tuesday (August 19, 2025) accused India of “profiteering” by reselling Russian oil while sparing China for the same, saying it has “diversified inputs of their oil.”

The remarks came amid strain in India-U.S. relations after Mr. Trump imposed tariffs totalling 50% on India. This includes 25% for New Delhi’s purchases of Russian oil that will come into effect from August 27.

Also read: 50% tariffs on Indian exports to the U.S. will reduce demand ‘very substantially’: Moody’s Analytics

While replying to a question on CNBC on the different treatment of China and India for purchasing Russian oil, Mr. Bessent said China’s oil imports from Russia have increased only 3% post the Russia-Ukraine war, while India’s oil imports from Russia have increased over 40%.

“China’s importing (Russian oil) is suboptimal. If you go back and look pre- 2022, pre-invasion (of Ukraine by Russia), 13% of China’s oil was already coming from Russia; now it’s 16%, so China has diversified inputs of their oil,” said Mr. Bessent.

Mr. Bessent added that “less than one per cent” of Indian oil was coming from Russia pre-invasion “and now I believe it’s up to 42%”.

“India is just profiteering; they are reselling… They made 16 billion in excess profits… some of the richest families in India. This is a completely different thing,” added Bessent. He further said that this “Indian arbitrage, buying cheap oil and reselling it as a product, has just sprung up during the war… is just unacceptable.”

Mr. Bessent made similar comments last week ahead of the Trump-Putin meeting. In an interview with Bloomberg, he said if “things don’t go well” between Trump and Putin at the summit meeting, then secondary sanctions on India for purchasing Russian oil could go up.

India has called the tariffs “unjustified and unreasonable”.

Trump ended India-Pakistan conflict, says White House

The White House claimed that Mr. Trump has ended the military conflict between India and Pakistan.

“The President is using the might of American strength to demand that respect from our allies, our friends, and our adversaries all around the world,” Ms. Leavitt said at a press briefing.

She said that it was seen not only in the progress with Russia and Ukraine but also “in the closing of seven global conflicts around the world”.

“We’ve seen it with the end of the conflict between India and Pakistan, which could have resulted in a nuclear war if we had not had a President who believed in the strength and the leverage that comes with the job of being the President of the United States of America,” Ms. Leavitt said.

In an answer to another question, Ms. Leavitt said that Mr. Trump used trade “in a very powerful way as leverage” to bring the India-Pakistan conflict to an end.

Also read: Trump ended conflicts including India-Pakistan, should get Nobel Peace Prize: White House Press Secretary

Since May 10, when Mr. Trump announced on social media that India and Pakistan had agreed to a “full and immediate” ceasefire after a “long night” of talks mediated by Washington, he has repeated his claim over 40 times that he “helped settle” the tensions between India and Pakistan.

India has been consistently maintaining that the understanding on cessation of hostilities with Pakistan was reached following direct talks between the Directors General of Military Operations (DGMOs) of the two militaries.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi has said in Parliament that no leader of any country asked India to stop Operation Sindoor.



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India recommends import tariffs for three years on some steel products https://artifex.news/article69948868-ece/ Mon, 18 Aug 2025 17:06:00 +0000 https://artifex.news/article69948868-ece/ Read More “India recommends import tariffs for three years on some steel products” »

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Representational file image.
| Photo Credit: Reuters

India has recommended a three-year import tariff of 11%-12% on some steel products to curb shipments from top producer China.

The levy, if imposed, will start at 12%. It will be eased to 11.5% in the second year and to 11% in the third year, the Directorate General of Trade Remedies (DGTR) said in a notification dated August 16.

“The Authority concludes that there is a recent, sudden, sharp and significant increase in imports,” the notification said, adding that this could cause serious injury to the domestic steel sector.

The DGTR also said that due to 50% tariffs on steel imports into the U.S., coupled with similar measures by other countries, a bulk of steel volumes are lying with manufacturers across the world.

“Therefore, the safeguard duty must address, not only the serious injury suffered by the domestic industry…but also the threat of serious injury that is likely to arise in the future.”

The final recommendation follows preliminary findings, after which the Indian government in April imposed a 12% temporary tariff for 200 days

Earlier on Monday, Japanese steel lobby groups said they have requested the early introduction of measures to prevent the evasion of anti-dumping tariffs aimed at protecting their domestic sector from unfair imports.

U.S. President Donald Trump’s import tariffs on steel have fuelled a wave of trade frictions against Chinese steel, with countries including South Korea and Vietnam imposing anti-dumping levy.



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50% tariffs on Indian exports to the U.S. will reduce demand ‘very substantially’: Moody’s Analytics https://artifex.news/article69947490-ece/ Mon, 18 Aug 2025 13:05:00 +0000 https://artifex.news/article69947490-ece/ Read More “50% tariffs on Indian exports to the U.S. will reduce demand ‘very substantially’: Moody’s Analytics” »

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Moody’s added that the tariffs imposed by the U.S. have left countries across Europe and the Asia-Pacific region “feeling bruised”. File.
| Photo Credit: Reuters

The combined 50% tariff on Indian exports to the U.S. will reduce demand for Indian goods “very substantially”, Moody’s Analytics said in a report. 

The report was talking about the combined effect of the ongoing 25% tariff on Indian imports imposed by U.S. President Donald Trump, as well as the secondary tariff of 25% he imposed for India’s economic dealings with Russia, which are set to come into force on August 27. 

“India has experienced a sudden deterioration in its relations with the U.S. and has been threatened with 50% tariffs, a rate that will reduce demand for Indian goods very substantially,” the report said.

It added that the tariffs imposed by the U.S. have left countries across Europe and the Asia-Pacific region “feeling bruised” since the U.S. is the largest trading partner for most of them, and a decline in sales to their largest customer “will hurt”. 

“Some firms in these countries may be willing to slash prices to maintain volumes, but this will affect firm performance through lower margins, a squeeze on wages and investment,” Moody’s Analytics added. 

“Given that we now expect tariffs to remain in place for the remainder of Trump’s presidency, the drag on growth, particularly on investments and exports, will be notable,” it said.



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India ‘bit recalcitrant’ on trade negotiations: U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent https://artifex.news/article69927284-ece/ Wed, 13 Aug 2025 05:22:35 +0000 https://artifex.news/article69927284-ece/ Read More “India ‘bit recalcitrant’ on trade negotiations: U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent” »

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File picture of U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent.
| Photo Credit: Reuters

India has been a “bit recalcitrant” on trade negotiations with the US, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has said.

“That’s aspirational,” Mr. Bessent said on Fox Business on Tuesday (August 12, 2025), responding to a question on wrapping up all the tariffs and trade deals by the end of October.

“But I think we are in a good position. The big trade deals that aren’t done or aren’t agreed – Switzerland is still around, India has been a bit recalcitrant,” he said, adding that U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer and teams of lawyers “are busy papering all this over”.

“So I think we will have agreed on substantial terms with all the substantial countries. And as I’ve been saying for a long time, the President’s (Donald Trump) doing peace deals, trade deals, tax deals,” he added.

Also Read | ‘Not until we get it resolved’: Trump indicates pause in trade talks over Russian oil imports

Even as trade negotiations between India and the U.S. were ongoing, Mr. Trump imposed tariffs totalling 50% on India, including 25% for Delhi’s purchases of Russian oil, which will come into effect from August 27.

Responding to the tariffs, the Ministry of External Affairs in New Delhi has said that the targeting of India is “unjustified and unreasonable”.

“Like any major economy, India will take all necessary measures to safeguard its national interests and economic security,” it said.

Last week’s announcement of Mr. Trump’s executive order imposing the additional 25% tariffs on India came at a time when a team from the U.S. is scheduled to visit India from August 25 for the sixth round of negotiations for the proposed bilateral trade agreement.

The two countries are aiming to conclude the first phase of the pact by fall (October-November) this year.



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Will India cave in to U.S. pressure on Russian oil? | Explained https://artifex.news/article69914413-ece/ Sat, 09 Aug 2025 22:05:00 +0000 https://artifex.news/article69914413-ece/ Read More “Will India cave in to U.S. pressure on Russian oil? | Explained” »

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The story so far: On August 6, U.S. President Donald Trump announced a whopping 25% penalty tariff on Indian goods for India’s import of Russian oil. This was on top of the 25% reciprocal tariffs announced on July 31 after Indian and U.S. negotiators failed to reach a Free Trade Agreement (FTA).

Also Read | ‘Not until we get it resolved’: Trump indicates pause in trade talks over Russian oil imports

How has India responded to the tariffs?

India has so far not announced any overt action against the U.S. for its tariffs. The 25% reciprocal tariffs went into effect on August 7, and the impact will unfold in the upcoming weeks. Already, reports suggest garment exporters are facing trouble with U.S. importers suspending orders, given that U.S. tariffs on Asian competitors in Vietnam, Pakistan, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka are much lower. Mr. Trump’s penalty tariffs, meanwhile, will go into effect on August 27, and New Delhi is hopeful that there will be some change in position.

As a result, India’s response has been carried in three statements. On August 4, the Ministry of External Affairs (MEA) issued a release criticising both the U.S. and the European Union for “targeting” India over Russian oil imports, pointing out that they both continue to trade with Russia. While the U.S. procures critical minerals, chemicals and nuclear trade components, the EU countries continue to buy oil and LNG from Russia. On August 6, the MEA called the U.S. actions “extremely unfortunate” and “unfair, unjustified and unreasonable”, vowing to protect India’s national interests. On August 7, Prime Minister Modi said that he was ready to pay a price “personally” to protect the interests of India’s farmers, fishermen and livestock, and dairy keepers. This was an indication that India-U.S. trade talks had broken down over market access to the agricultural sector. Between giving in on market access or giving up Russian oil, India appears to be facing two ‘impossible’ choices.

Also Read | Modi, Putin discuss Ukraine amid Trump tariff row

Can the tariffs be stopped?

Mr. Trump has announced that he will meet Russian President Vladimir Putin on August 15 in Alaska, which incidentally will be the first Putin trip to the U.S. since 2015 when he travelled to the UN for a summit. According to reports, Mr. Putin has offered to stop the war in exchange for keeping territories the Russian forces control, but it is unclear if this would be acceptable to Ukraine and European countries. If there is a deal, India may receive a roll back of the Russian oil penalties, and the MEA issued a statement Saturday welcoming and “endorsing” plans for the Trump-Putin Summit. In his executive order of August 6, Mr. Trump has given himself “modification authority”, if Russia were to “take significant steps” to end the Ukraine war and security threats to the U.S.

In addition, a U.S. team of FTA negotiators are scheduled to visit Delhi on August 25. If India makes certain concessions on trade and market access, a mini-trade deal could go a long way in reducing the U.S. tariffs.

Trump shocks | Are India-U.S. ties in jeopardy?

How much Russian oil does India procure?

Prior to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, India imported very little oil from Russia. Ural oil, considered “heavy” crude and priced too high as Russia had European buyers, consisted only 1% of India’s basket of sellers. After the EU began to sanction Russia, and committed to zeroing out all energy purchases from Russia, the price of Ural dropped, and India, as well as China and others, began to pick up more Russian oil.

By May 2023, India was importing two million plus barrels of Russian crude per day (bpd), making up between 35-40% of India’s basket. Russia has been its largest supplier since. However, India-Russia energy ties go beyond this trade. After the Modi-Putin summit in Sochi in May 2018, and Mr. Putin’s visit to India for the annual summit that year, the India-Russia joint statement recorded investments of over $5 billion by an Indian consortium of PSUs in Vankorneft and Taas-Yuryakh Neftegazodobycha in Russia. Russian oil major Rosneft picked up a 49% stake in Essar Oil for $12.9 billion. The new entity was renamed Nayara Energy, and it included Essar’s Vadinar refinery in Gujarat — 49% stake went to a consortium, and Essar retained 2%. Vadinar refinery, along with other private refiners like Reliance, began to reprocess Russian oil and export it to other countries over the next few years. Mr. Trump called this, “selling it on the open markets for big profits”. None of this violated any sanctions, and despite requests from Western countries, the government continued to purchase oil from Russia, saving India about $13 billion by 2024 and a further $3.8 billion in 2025, according to estimates by the ICRA.

Experts say it will be difficult for the government to give in to U.S. pressure this time, economically as well as politically and diplomatically. The Indian government would lose face domestically, and risk damaging ties with an all-important friend, Russia. For the moment, Kpler reports that the price of Ural has dropped after demand has reduced from Indian companies, but experts say it is unlikely to completely stop Russian imports, even as India broadens its non-Russian intake through the U.S., Iraq, Kuwait, UAE and Saudi Arabia.

Also Read | MEA’s latest statement indicates India may change tack to face U.S. tariffs, E.U. sanctions over Russian oil

What happened with oil imports from Iran?

India’s refusal to stop importing Russian oil was a shift from 2018, when Mr. Trump had demanded India’s compliance in “zeroing out” oil from Iran and Venezuela. After initially maintaining that India would not bow to such diktats, the government caved in by May 2019, and stopped all its direct oil purchases from both Iran and Venezuela, incurring heavy losses, as the oil was both “sweet” for its refineries and priced competitively.

What does this mean for foreign policy?

Since 1999, after the U.S. placed sanctions on India for nuclear tests, Delhi and Washington have worked tirelessly to change relations between them. They have built trust for a quarter of a century through a civil nuclear deal, military and defence cooperation, counter-terror cooperation, technology partnerships and the Quad grouping in the Indo-Pacific. Experts in both countries say that besides hurting Indian trade, Mr. Trump’s actions will damage the India-U.S. relationship in several other areas. At the same time, Delhi’s moves to shore up strategic autonomy and independence are significant. National Security Adviser Ajit Doval travelled to Moscow last week to prepare for Mr. Putin’s visit to India, and External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar is expected to follow later in the month.

Mr. Modi will travel to Japan and then to China for the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) summit and a bilateral meeting with President Xi Jinping, on his first such visit since the 2020 LAC (Line of Actual Control) military clashes. Moreover, Delhi is due to host the Quad summit this November, and much will depend on whether Mr. Modi and Mr. Trump can restore ties by then.

Published – August 10, 2025 03:35 am IST



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