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Prime Minister Narendra Modi with U.S. President Donald Trump in New Delhi on Feb. 25, 2020. (PTI Photo)

As the Trump administration has repeatedly changed tariffs on Indian goods, New Delhi has been signing trade agreements at a rapid pace. But can these new markets meaningfully reduce India’s dependence on the U.S. as it’s faced with 100% tariffs?

How U.S. tariffs on Indian goods have changed since 2025

Tariff rate0%10%25%50%Feb 2025May 2025Aug 2025Nov 2025Feb 2026May 2026Aug 2026Proposed“Reciprocal” tariffs announced26% under IEEPA50% after Russian-oil penaltyU.S. Supreme Court strikes down IEEPASection 301 finalised at 10%

The U.S. House of Representatives has passed legislation giving U.S. President Donald Trump broad
powers to impose sanctions on Russia and tariffs of up to 100% on countries that buy Russian oil and
gas, a measure that could once again put Indian exports in the firing line.

The development comes after more than a year of upheaval in India-U.S. trade. Since Trump returned
to the White House, Indian exporters have faced repeated changes in tariff rates, the products
covered and the laws used to impose them. The uncertainty matters because the U.S. has only become
more important to India’s exporters. This bill comes amidst New Delhi and Washington negotiating a
preliminary trade deal.

The Trump administration had announced an additional 25% tariff, on top of an existing 25% tariff on
India in July 2025, for the purchase of Russian oil. The share of Russian crude oil in Indian oil
imports fell to its lowest level in two years in December 2025, but energy markets have been under
additional pressure owing to the U.S.-Iran conflict and New Delhi’s import of Russian oil hit an
11-month high in April this year. However, the U.S. Treasury paused sanctions for oil shipments that
were in transit before March 11, as supplies were hit following the start of the conflict in West
Asia on February 28.

Russia accounted for more than 51% of India’s oil imports in July, an all-time high, up from just a
little less than 50% in the previous month, the latest official data shows. An analysis of Commerce
and Industry Ministry data shows India imported 110.4 lakh tonnes of Russia oil in July, the latest
month for which data is available.

U.S. is India’s most important trading partner, as evident in its imports from India. In 2025, the
U.S. bought about $92 billion worth of Indian merchandise, almost four times the $24 billion it
bought in 2010. Its share of India’s merchandise exports nearly doubled over the period.

Even as the Trump administration has repeatedly turned to tariffs, New Delhi has been rapidly
expanding its network of trade agreements, opening up markets across Europe, West Asia and
elsewhere. But can these new markets meaningfully reduce India’s dependence on the U.S.?

How the U.S. tariff regime has been changing

India is not alone in facing U.S. tariffs. On April 2, 2025, the Trump administration announced a
10% additional tariff on imports from almost all trading partners, along with higher
country-specific rates for dozens of economies. India was assigned a 26% rate, while other major
trading partners including the European Union, Japan and South Korea were also placed above the 10%
baseline. The higher country-specific tariffs were suspended days later for most countries, leaving
the 10% baseline in place. China was treated separately and faced substantially higher rates during
the ensuing tariff dispute.

U.S. Section 301 tariffs, as of July 2026

Tariff rates vary by country. For some, the rate is an additional duty on top of existing tariffs, while for others it is a total rate that includes existing duties.

  • 10% + existing tariff(additional duty)
  • 12.5% + existing tariff(additional duty)
  • 10% total(includes existing duties)
  • 12.5% total(includes existing duties)
  • Not covered by this action

Loading tariff map…

Source: White House

In July 2025, the U.S. announced a 25% rate for India, which it then hiked to 50% as a penalty for
importing Russian oil. The additional Russian-oil tariff was removed in February 2026, when India
and the U.S. announced a framework for an interim trade agreement.

The tariff regime changed again in 2026. After the U.S. Supreme Court struck down the use of
emergency economic powers for the reciprocal tariffs, the administration turned to other provisions
of U.S. trade law. A temporary 10% import surcharge under Section 122 took effect on February 24 and
remained in force until July 24.

In July, the U.S. Trade Representative imposed new Section 301 tariffs on 60 economies following an
investigation into forced-labour import restrictions. The rates varied by country, from 10% for
India, the UK and several others to 12.5% for many of the economies covered.

Since July, around 55% of India’s exports to the U.S. have faced this additional 10% Section 301
duty. The remaining 45% are outside its scope, including generic pharmaceuticals, smartphones and
products already subject to separate Section 232 tariffs such as steel, aluminium and auto parts.

These repeated changes have made it difficult for exporters to plan around fluctuations in the U.S.
market, said Biswajit Dhar, an economist and former professor at Jawaharlal Nehru University.

“With regular changes in U.S. tariff rates, Indian exporters face serious uncertainties over their
expected earnings in the world’s largest economy,” he said.

The red-hulled vessel Shivalik alongside a tugboat.
Indian Liquified Petroleum Gas carrier Shivalik as it arrives at the Mundra Port in Gujarat, India. (REUTERS/Amith Dave)

Meanwhile, India’s dependence on the U.S. has grown

Over the years, the U.S. has accounted for a growing share of India’s exports. What Indian exporters
sell to American buyers has also changed.

Two decades ago, consumer goods made up more than half of India’s exports to the U.S., while capital
goods accounted for just 11.4%. By 2025, the share of consumer goods had fallen to 40.9%, while
capital goods had risen to 28.6%.

The composition within those broad categories has changed too. In 2005, precious stones accounted
for 24.7% of India’s exports to the U.S. and textiles and apparel for 21.3%. By 2025, their shares
had fallen to 7.3% and 8.3%, respectively.

Source: International Trade Center trade map. Shares are each product group’s value divided by total merchandise exports to the U.S. that year.

Electrical machinery moved in the opposite direction. It accounted for just 2.6% of India’s exports
to the U.S. in 2005, but by 2025 had become the largest category, making up 28% of the export
basket. Pharmaceuticals also increased from 1.6% to 10.4% over the period.

Some of these industries are also highly dependent on the U.S. as a destination. In 2025, 48.1% of
all electrical machinery exported by India went to the U.S. The corresponding share was 55% for
carpets and 37.3% for pharmaceuticals. For some smaller categories, the dependence was even greater.
The U.S. accounted for 77.3% of prepared meat and fish exports in 2025.

This makes changes in U.S. market access particularly important for Indian exporters. For several
industries, the U.S. accounts for a substantial share of their total overseas sales.

Union Minister Ashwini Vaishnaw, wearing protective shoe covers, touring an electronics manufacturing floor with company officials, standing beside a CNC machine.
Union Minister of Electronics and Information Technology Ashwini Vaishnaw during the inauguration of a manufacturing unit for tempered glass used in mobile phones, in Noida, Uttar Pradesh, on Aug. 30, 2025. (PTI Photo)

India’s attempt at diversifying its trade partnerships

India has also accelerated its push for new trade agreements. Since 2021, India has concluded or
announced nine trade agreements covering 38 countries.

The Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement with the UAE came into force in 2022, followed by
the Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement with Australia later that year. India signed an
agreement with the four-country European Free Trade Association in 2024. Deals with the UK and Oman
followed, while India has also concluded negotiations with the European Union and signed an
agreement with New Zealand.

These agreements offer Indian exporters significant tariff concessions. Under the agreement with the
UK, for instance, nearly 99% of Indian exports will receive zero-duty access. Oman has offered
duty-free access covering more than 99% of Indian exports by value. New Zealand has agreed to
eliminate tariffs across all tariff lines once the agreement comes into force.

Source: Trade Intelligence Analytics TIA Portal, Department of Commerce

From January 2026, Indian goods also received zero-duty access across all Australian tariff lines.

The agreement concluded with the EU is potentially the most significant because the size of the
European market comes closest to that of the U.S. The concessions negotiated cover more than 99% of
Indian exports by trade value, although the agreement is not yet in force.

Even as FTAs have expanded India’s access, the scale of these markets matters. India’s bilateral
trade with the UAE rose from about $43 billion in FY2021 to around $100 billion in FY2025. Trade
with Australia increased from roughly $12 billion to $24 billion over the same period.

This growth cannot be attributed entirely to trade agreements. Commodity prices, domestic demand,
exchange rates and wider economic conditions also affect bilateral trade. An FTA also does not
automatically redirect exports from one country to another. Exporters still have to find new buyers
and distribution networks. Products may also need to meet different regulatory and technical
standards. In some markets, non-tariff barriers may matter more than the tariff itself.

Trade with India’s FTA partners has grown

  • Pre-FTA reference level (FY2021)
  • FY2025 trade

$0B$25B$50B$75B$100BBilateral trade with India ($ billion)UAECEPA$43.3B$100.0BEFTATEPA$20.5B$24.4BAustraliaECTA$12.3B$24.1BUKCETA$13.1B$23.1BOmanCEPA$5.40B$10.6BNew ZealandFTA$0.87B$1.30BMauritiusCECPA$0.79B$0.89B

Note: The chart compares trade before and after the FTA period. It does not imply
that the FTA caused the increase.

Source: Ministry of Commerce and Industry database

The EU illustrates both the opportunity and the limitation. It is the only market large enough to
approach the U.S. as an export destination for India, even as the U.S. remains the largest single
destination among the markets considered. India’s exports to the European bloc increased from about
$49.5 billion in 2017 to $78.5 billion in 2025. The EU accounted for about 17.6% of India’s
merchandise exports in 2025. Together, the U.S. and EU accounted for roughly 38% of India’s
merchandise exports that year.

The recently concluded trade agreement could substantially improve tariff access for Indian
products. But greater access does not guarantee that industries heavily dependent on American demand
will begin selling comparable quantities in Europe in the short term.

The same problem is more pronounced for smaller FTA partners. The UK is considerably smaller.
India’s exports to the country increased from about $9 billion in 2017 to $13.8 billion in 2025.
Australia also became more important, with exports rising from about $3.9 billion to $7.7 billion.
But it still accounted for only about 1.7% of India’s merchandise exports in 2025.

The UAE, UK and Australia can provide additional demand. But individually they remain far smaller
destinations for Indian merchandise than the U.S.

Diversifying away from the U.S. would be difficult in the short term, Dhar said. The U.S. is the
largest market for some of India’s most export-oriented industries, particularly mobile phones and
pharmaceuticals. Entering new markets would also take time and investment, especially for
pharmaceutical companies that need to establish their products and build demand, he said.

For sectors with high exposure to the U.S. market, it remains to be seen whether greater market
access through FTAs translates into more exports to these destinations.

Dhar pointed to China’s experience. Before Donald Trump began targeting China during his first term,
a much larger share of its exports went to the U.S.

“China saw the writing on the wall and began developing new markets for its exports,” Dhar said. By
the time Trump returned to the White House, that share had fallen substantially. “If India can
garner stronger political will, it could reduce its export dependence on the U.S. in a shorter time
span than China did.”

Data do not yet show India moving away from the American market. The U.S. share of Indian exports
has risen steadily, reaching more than one-fifth in 2025.

And the possibility of another major tariff shock has now moved closer.

The U.S. House of Representatives on Wednesday passed legislation giving Trump broad powers to
impose sanctions on Russia and tariffs of up to 100% on countries that buy Russian oil and gas.
India, one of the largest buyers of Russian crude since the invasion of Ukraine, could be affected
by the measure.

The legislation will now go to Trump to be signed into law. It does not mean a 100% tariff on Indian
goods automatically takes effect. Rather, it gives the President authority to impose tariffs of up
to that level on countries purchasing Russian energy.

For Indian exporters, the development adds another source of uncertainty around the market that has
become their most important overseas destination. India’s new trade agreements provide access to a
much wider set of markets. Whether those markets can reduce that dependence will ultimately depend
on whether Indian exports actually begin shifting towards them.



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U.S., India trade deal in final steps: Sergio Gor https://artifex.news/article71164133-ecerand29/ Tue, 30 Jun 2026 01:31:00 +0000 https://artifex.news/article71164133-ecerand29/ Read More “U.S., India trade deal in final steps: Sergio Gor” »

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U.S. Ambassador to India Sergio Gor. File
| Photo Credit: The Hindu

The U.S.-India trade deal is in its “final steps”, with only the last one per cent of negotiations left to be concluded, US Ambassador to India Sergio Gor said on Tuesday (June 30, 2026), expressing confidence that the deal would soon be sealed after nearly 18 months of talks.

Addressing the US-India Strategic Partnership Forum Leadership Summit in Washington, Mr. Gor said he was determined to conclude the agreement as it would be beneficial to both nations.

“We are in the final steps on this deal. Most of this deal is complete. There’s a few items that remain on both sides. It’s in the last 1% of that deal,” he said.

The U.S. envoy to India was bullish about the bilateral relationship and cited the personal equation between U.S. President Donald Trump and Prime Minister Narendra Modi which was driving the ties.

“People ask, why is this taking so long? We’ve been at this for a year and a half. To put it into perspective, we’ve been trading for 20 years. So no matter what, once we beat the European deal, I think we’re in good shape. But I’m determined to bring this to a close,” he said.

The U.S. envoy said the President has very fond memories of his visit to India and still continues to talk about it.

“His visit last time, it was one of his most remarkable visits that he continues to talk about. He holds it in a very fond place. It’s an incredible thing. So I look forward to … having the President visit us back in India,” Mr. Gor said.

The Ambassador also announced that the Quad Foreign Ministers are scheduled to meet in the Philippines in about two weeks from now.



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U.S., India trade deal in final steps: Sergio Gor https://artifex.news/article71164133-ece/ Tue, 30 Jun 2026 01:23:00 +0000 https://artifex.news/article71164133-ece/ Read More “U.S., India trade deal in final steps: Sergio Gor” »

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U.S. Ambassador to India Sergio Gor. File
| Photo Credit: The Hindu

The U.S.-India trade deal is in its “final steps”, with only the last one per cent of negotiations left to be concluded, US Ambassador to India Sergio Gor said on Tuesday (June 30, 2026), expressing confidence that the deal would soon be sealed after nearly 18 months of talks.

Addressing the US-India Strategic Partnership Forum Leadership Summit in Washington, Mr. Gor said he was determined to conclude the agreement as it would be beneficial to both nations.

“We are in the final steps on this deal. Most of this deal is complete. There’s a few items that remain on both sides. It’s in the last 1% of that deal,” he said.

The U.S. envoy to India was bullish about the bilateral relationship and cited the personal equation between U.S. President Donald Trump and Prime Minister Narendra Modi which was driving the ties.

“People ask, why is this taking so long? We’ve been at this for a year and a half. To put it into perspective, we’ve been trading for 20 years. So no matter what, once we beat the European deal, I think we’re in good shape. But I’m determined to bring this to a close,” he said.

The U.S. envoy said the President has very fond memories of his visit to India and still continues to talk about it.

“His visit last time, it was one of his most remarkable visits that he continues to talk about. He holds it in a very fond place. It’s an incredible thing. So I look forward to … having the President visit us back in India,” Mr. Gor said.

The Ambassador also announced that the Quad Foreign Ministers are scheduled to meet in the Philippines in about two weeks from now.



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India, U.S. may execute first phase of bilateral trade pact by middle of next month: Goyal https://artifex.news/article71065902-ece/ Fri, 05 Jun 2026 13:57:00 +0000 https://artifex.news/article71065902-ece/ Read More “India, U.S. may execute first phase of bilateral trade pact by middle of next month: Goyal” »

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India and the U.S. are moving towards closing all the open ends of the interim trade agreement, and both sides are likely to execute the “very, very vibrant” first phase of the pact by the middle of next month, Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal said on Friday (June 5, 2026).

He said that the U.S. team was in New Delhi from June 2-4 for finalisation of the deal. They held discussions with the Indian team.

“I also met with them yesterday, and we are fast moving towards closing all the open ends, and I think sometime by the middle of next month or so, we should be in a position to execute a very, very vibrant first tranche…

“It is only the first tranche of our bilateral trade agreement, which will give preferential access to India over our competitors,” he told reporters here.

He added that a high-level team is expected to visit India towards the end of this month.

The team is likely to be led by U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) Jamieson Greer.

During this week’s talks in the national capital, the two teams held constructive and positive discussions across a wide range of issues, covering trade in goods, non-tariff measures, customs and trade facilitation, economic security alignment and other areas of mutual interest, the Commerce Ministry said.

The U.S. team was led by its chief negotiator Brendan Lynch. India’s chief negotiator is Darpan Jain, who is an additional secretary in the Department of Commerce.

After finalising the framework for the first phase of the bilateral trade agreement (BTA), the two countries are looking to finalise the details of the interim trade pact and take forward the negotiations for the broader BTA.

On February 7, India and the U.S. issued a joint statement finalising the contours or framework of the first phase of the BTA or an interim trade deal.

According to that framework, the U.S. had agreed to reduce tariffs on India to 18% from 50%. It had removed the 25% tariffs on Indian goods for buying Russian oil and was to cut the remaining 25% to 18% under the pact.

But, on February 20, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled against President Donald Trump’s sweeping reciprocal tariffs, which were imposed under the 1977 International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA).

After that, the U.S. President announced the imposition of 10% tariffs on all countries for 150 days, starting February 24. It will end on July 24.

In light of these changes, the two sides met in Washington in April, when the Indian team, headed by Mr. Jain, visited America from April 20-23, 2026.

To carry forward those discussions, the U.S. team was here for the talks.

As the tariff landscape has changed in the U.S., both sides may wish to revisit the agreement’s framework.

The February joint statement on the framework has a clause that in the event of any changes to the agreed upon tariffs of either country, the US and India agree that the other country may modify its commitments.

Under the agreed framework, India proposed to eliminate or reduce tariffs on all U.S. industrial goods and a wide range of food and agricultural products, including dried distillers’ grains (DDGs), red sorghum for animal feed, tree nuts, fresh and processed fruit, soybean oil, wine and spirits, and additional products.

New Delhi has also expressed its intentions to purchase $500 billion of U.S. energy products, aircraft and aircraft parts, precious metals, technology products, and coking coal over the next five years.

When the framework was agreed, India had a comparative advantage over its competitor countries, such as Sri Lanka, Pakistan and Bangladesh.

Now, with all U.S. trading partners facing a uniform 10% tariff, the pact requires recalibration.

It is important that India gets an advantage over its competitor nations on the tariff front in the trade pact.

As the U.S. Supreme Court has ruled against Mr. Trump’s sweeping tariffs, the U.S. administration now has the option of using the Section 301 investigation mechanism to impose new tariffs.

According to sources, the U.S. could use this mechanism as a pressure tactic to bring its trading partners on the table to negotiate trade deals.

In March, the U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) launched two unilateral Section 301 investigations against a number of countries, including India, over excess capacity and failures to eradicate forced labour in global supply chains.

On June 2, the USTR proposed imposing 12.5% tariffs on 54 countries, including India, for allegedly failing to prohibit the import of goods produced with forced labour.

The proposed duty follows investigations launched in March against 60 countries under Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974 over concerns related to forced labour.

The measure remains a proposal and has not yet been finalised, the USTR said, adding that interested parties can submit requests to appear at hearings and summaries of testimony by June 22. The USTR is scheduled to hold hearings on July 7.

The U.S. was the second-largest trading partner of India in 2025-26.

India’s outbound shipments to the U.S. grew marginally by 0.92% to $87.3 billion during the last fiscal year, while imports increased 15.95% to $52.9 billion. The trade surplus declined to $34.4 billion in 2025-26 from $40.89 billion in 2024-25.

Published – June 05, 2026 07:27 pm IST



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‘Can’t allow Trump’s ego to destroy strategic relationship with India’: U.S. lawmaker Ro Khanna https://artifex.news/article70006736-ece/ Wed, 03 Sep 2025 04:40:00 +0000 https://artifex.news/article70006736-ece/ Read More “‘Can’t allow Trump’s ego to destroy strategic relationship with India’: U.S. lawmaker Ro Khanna” »

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U.S. President Donald Trump’s actions are destroying the partnership with India, Indian-American Congressman Ro Khanna and two former top officials have said, cautioning that the American leader’s “ego” cannot be allowed to destroy a “strategic relationship” with the world’s largest democracy.

Mr. Khanna, the co-chair of the U.S.-India caucus, said he is sounding the “five-alarm fire” on what Mr. Trump is doing to “destroy” the U.S.-India partnership.

Mr. Khanna accused Mr. Trump of “undermining 30 years of bipartisan work to strengthen the US-India alliance,” citing the imposition of 50% tariffs on Indian goods, including a 25% levy on New Delhi’s purchase of Russian oil.

Mr. Khanna added that Mr. Trump’s policies are “driving India towards China and Russia,” a trend that poses a strategic setback for the US.

U.S. sanctions on India | Is there a path to normalcy in ties? | Worldview

As Trump comes down with 50% Tariffs on India, his administration steps up its tirade on Russian oil imports, calling Ukraine “Modi’s War” – was the trade war unavoidable and is there a diplomatic solution to the U.S. sanctions on India ?
| Video Credit:
The Hindu

Mr. Khanna said the levies imposed on India are higher than any other country, except Brazil, and are even higher tariffs than the duties on China, which is the largest purchaser of Russian energy.

“It is hurting India’s exports of leather and textiles into the United States, and it’s hurting American manufacturers and our exports into India. It is also driving India towards China and towards Russia,” he said.

Peace Prize issue

Pointing to the root cause of the issue, Mr. Khanna said the reasons are “very simple”.

Mr. Khanna explained that Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s refusal to nominate Mr. Trump for a Nobel Peace Prize, while Pakistan did, has led to strained relations.

He referenced a statement from Islamabad, which credited Mr. Trump for bringing an end to the four-day conflict between India and Pakistan in May this year. India, however, maintained that the border dispute with Pakistan is an internal matter and refused to give Mr. Trump any credit.

“We can’t allow the ego of Donald Trump to destroy a strategic relationship with India that is key to ensuring that America leads and not China,” Mr. Khanna said.

“To all those Indian-Americans who voted for Donald Trump, I’m asking you, where are you today while he destroys this relationship?” he asked.

Putin, Modi, Xi meeting

Mr. Khanna’s comments come as Prime Minister Modi had attended the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) summit in China’s Tianjin city, where he held bilateral talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping.

The display of camaraderie between the three leaders was a stark reminder of India’s growing ties with both Russia and China.

Mr. Trump’s words and actions targeting India over tariffs and its purchases of Russian oil are being strongly criticised by other officials across the US, as well, including from those who have served in the previous White House administrations.

Former US National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan on Monday said Mr. Trump has “thrown the relationship with India over the side” because of Pakistan’s willingness to engage in business deals with his family.

He described the move as a “huge strategic harm” to America.

Trump claims India has offered to reduce tariffs to zero, says ‘but it’s getting late’

Trump claims India has offered to reduce tariffs to zero, says ‘but it’s getting late’
| Video Credit:
The Hindu

“On a bipartisan basis, going back decades, the United States has worked to build its relationship with India, the world’s largest democracy, a country that we should be aligned with on technology and talent and economics, so many other issues, and aligned with in dealing with the strategic threat from China,” Sullivan said in response to a question on the MeidasTouch network.

He noted that the U.S. had made significant progress in strengthening ties with India.

Personal business with Pakistan

However, that relationship, he claimed, has been undermined by Mr. Trump’s preference for personal business interests with Pakistan.

“In no small part, I think because of Pakistan’s willingness to do business deals with the Trump family, Mr. Trump has thrown the India relationship over the side,” Mr. Sullivan said, describing it as a “huge strategic harm” because a “strong US-India relationship serves our interests”.

Mr. Sullivan, who served as National Security Advisor under President Joe Biden, also voiced alarm that such actions raise concern among other countries around the world over their ties with the U.S. under the Trump administration.

He said the current situation with India not only has direct strategic consequences but also “reverberating impact” on all US relationships and partnerships worldwide.

Decades of efforts ‘shredded’

John Bolton, who served as NSA in the first Trump administration, has said President Trump has “shredded” decades of Western efforts to wean India away from Russia and caution it on the threat posed by China.

“The West has spent decades trying to wean India away from its Cold War attachment to Soviet Union Russia, and cautioning India on the threat posed by China. Donald Trump has shredded decades of efforts with his disastrous tariff policy,” Mr. Bolton said in a post on X Monday.

In an interview with Sky News, Mr. Bolton elaborated that the West, and the US in particular, has spent decades trying to wean India away from Russia, buying sophisticated weapons from them and cautioning New Delhi on the danger posed by China. This was symbolised by the Quad grouping of Japan, India, Australia and the United States.

“A lot of effort (was made) to make India more amenable to cooperation with these countries. Donald Trump, in the past weeks, has essentially upended that and, for a variety of reasons, now sent India back toward Russia, to grow closer to China, and just shredding these decades of efforts,” he said.

The former NSA stressed that while the situation can be repaired, it would require significant work, which he does not see happening in the near term.

Mr. Bolton said there are a series of things that Trump has done that have offended the Indians on the basic tariffs that Trump wants, which he said at a macro level economic phenomena are a “disaster” for everybody.

He said India believed it was close to resolving disputes with Washington, only to be hit with 25% duties. Mr. Trump then carried through on his threat to impose secondary tariffs on countries buying Russian oil and gas.

“Trump whacked India with another 25%, (but) did not tariff Russia, did not tariff China, the largest purchaser of Russian oil and gas.

“And then, to make it worse, when the recent escalation between Pakistan and India over a terrorist attack in Kashmir occurred… Trump took full credit for it as one of the six or seven wars that he stopped this year to deserve the Nobel Peace Prize, which has made India incandescent,” said Bolton, a long-time critic of Mr. Trump.

Since May 10, when Mr. Trump announced on social media that India and Pakistan had agreed to a “full and immediate” ceasefire after a “long night” of talks mediated by Washington, he has repeated his claim over 40 times that he “helped settle” the tensions between India and Pakistan.

India has been consistently maintaining that the understanding on cessation of hostilities with Pakistan was reached following direct talks between the Directors General of Military Operations (DGMOs) of the two militaries.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi has said in Parliament that no leader of any country asked India to stop Operation Sindoor.

External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar has categorically said there was no third-party intervention in bringing about a ceasefire with Pakistan during Operation Sindoor.



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WATCH | Trump’s tariffs on India — analysing the economic and strategic impact https://artifex.news/article69877428-ece/ Thu, 31 Jul 2025 08:01:00 +0000 https://artifex.news/article69877428-ece/ Read More “WATCH | Trump’s tariffs on India — analysing the economic and strategic impact” »

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U.S. President Donald Trump has announced a 25% tariff on Indian imports, along with an additional “penalty” targeting India’s defence and energy trade with Russia and its role in the BRICS alliance. In this LIVE analysis at 2:15 p.m., top experts examine how the Trump tariffs will impact Indian exports, India–U.S. trade negotiations, BRICS dynamics, and New Delhi’s global economic strategy.

Viewers are welcome to post their questions in the live chat, and we’ll try to take as many as possible during the discussion.

Joining us for expert insights:

Sharad Raghavan – Economics & Business Editor, The Hindu

Suhasini Haidar – Diplomatic Editor, The Hindu

Pankaj Chadha – Chairman, Engineering Export Promotion Council of India

Ajay Srivastava – Founder, Global Trade Research Initiative; Former DGFT



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