trade deficit – Artifex.News https://artifex.news Stay Connected. Stay Informed. Mon, 17 Nov 2025 13:48:00 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.4 https://artifex.news/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/cropped-cropped-app-logo-32x32.png trade deficit – Artifex.News https://artifex.news 32 32 Festive surge in gold imports drives India’s Oct. 2025 trade deficit up 141% to $21.8 billion https://artifex.news/article70290757-ece/ Mon, 17 Nov 2025 13:48:00 +0000 https://artifex.news/article70290757-ece/ Read More “Festive surge in gold imports drives India’s Oct. 2025 trade deficit up 141% to $21.8 billion” »

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Gold imports grew nearly 200% in October 2025 to $14.7 billion from $4.9 billion in October 2024. File.
| Photo Credit: Reuters

India’s trade deficit surged 141% in October 2025 to $21.8 billion due to surging imports, driven in large part by a festival-related jump in gold imports, and subdued merchandise exports, official data showed.

India’s total exports in October 2025 stood at $72.9 billion, down marginally from $73.4 billion in October last year. India’s total imports jumped to $94.7 billion in October this year, compared with $82.4 billion in October 2024. As a result, the trade deficit grew to $21.8 billion in October this year from $9.05 billion last year.

“There are two things that have brought this increase in the trade deficit about,” Commerce Secretary Rajesh Agrawal said at a press briefing. “The first is gold and the other is silver. The increase in gold imports has been phenomenal in October despite very high global prices.” 

“In silver also, the growth has been phenomenal,” he explained. “If you combine these two, these account for the additional trade deficit.”

Gold imports grew nearly 200% in October 2025 to $14.7 billion from $4.9 billion in October 2024. In fact, gold imports in October reversed the trend that had been seen in the April-September period of this financial year. 

That is, while gold imports in the April-September 2025 period were 8.7% lower than in the same period of the previous year, the jump in October meant that gold imports in April-October 2025 were 21.4% higher than in April-October 2024.

Similarly, silver imports grew nearly 530% in October 2025 to $2.7 billion. 

“An uninterrupted rise in gold prices ahead of the festive season may have led to speculative demand which may not sustain going ahead, possibly leading to some cooling in the import numbers in the ensuing months,” Aditi Nayar, chief economist at ICRA said. “Nevertheless, the non-oil, non-gold imports rose by a substantial 12.4% year-on-year, led by fertilisers, machinery, electronic goods, non-ferrous metals, and silver.”

Digging deeper into India’s total exports, the merchandise exports fell 11.8% to $34.4 billion in October 2025, while services exports grew 11.9% to $38.5 billion. 

On the imports side, merchandise imports grew 16.7% in October 2025 to $76.1 billion and services imports grew 8.1% to $18.6 billion.



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Rupee falls 17 paise to 88.26 against U.S. dollar in early trade https://artifex.news/article69998705-ece/ Mon, 01 Sep 2025 04:49:00 +0000 https://artifex.news/article69998705-ece/ Read More “Rupee falls 17 paise to 88.26 against U.S. dollar in early trade” »

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Image used for representation purpose only.
| Photo Credit: Reuters

The rupee depreciated 17 paise to 88.26 against the U.S. dollar in early trade on Monday (September 1, 2025), as persistent foreign fund outflows weighed on investor sentiments.

Forex traders said the rupee opened on a weaker note this morning and could remain under pressure as the tariffs from the U.S. and outflows from FPIs weighed on the local unit.

At the interbank foreign exchange market, the rupee opened at 88.18, then lost ground and touched an early low of 88.26 against the U.S. dollar, registering a decline of 17 paise over its previous close.

On Friday (August 29, 2025), the rupee breached the 88 per U.S. dollar mark for the first time and had closed at an all-time low of 88.09 against the greenback.

The rupee hit an all-time intraday low of 88.31 after the RBI allowed it to go past 87.80, a level it had been protecting since the last six months and 87.95, its previous all-time low, said Anil Kumar Bhansali, Head of Treasury and Executive Director, Finrex Treasury Advisors LLP.

The 50% Tariffs will surely hurt the portfolio inflows while India continues to talk with the U.S. on the trade and Tariffs issues, he said.

The seriousness of the issue could be gauged from the impact on growth and widening trade deficit, even though GDP grew by 7.8 per cent in the first quarter of the fiscal year. Going forward, we could see some slowdown in the second quarter due to spillovers from the tariffs’ impact.

Government data released on Friday showed India’s economy grew by a stronger-than-expected 7.8% in April-June, its fastest pace in five quarters.

Meanwhile, the dollar index, which gauges the greenback’s strength against a basket of six currencies, fell 0.07% to 97.70.

Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, was trading 0.41% lower to $67.20 per barrel in futures trade

On the domestic equity market front, Sensex climbed 343.46 points to 80,153.11 in early trade, while the Nifty was up 105.8 points to 24,532.65.

Foreign Institutional Investors offloaded equities worth ₹8,312.66 crore on Friday (August 29, 2025), according to exchange data.

The RBI on Friday (August 29, 2025) said the country’s forex reserves dropped $4.386 billion to $690.72 billion during the week ended August 22. The overall reserves had jumped from $1.488 billion to $695.106 billion in the previous reporting week.

The Forex reserves fell as RBI continued to sell dollars to protect the rupee, Bhansali said, adding that “the RBI could allow depreciation of the rupee to maintain its competitiveness against other countries where tariffs are lower than India.”



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Government unfazed by high import bills and trade deficit spikes https://artifex.news/article68903758-ece/ Sun, 24 Nov 2024 06:25:00 +0000 https://artifex.news/article68903758-ece/ Read More “Government unfazed by high import bills and trade deficit spikes” »

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The Centre is non-plussed about the recent spate of record-high import bills and is not actively mulling any import compression measures. File
| Photo Credit: The Hindu

The Centre is non-plussed about the recent spate of record-high import bills and is not actively mulling any import compression measures, top trade officials asserted, attributing the rising import tallies to India’s relatively faster growth vis-à-vis the rest of the world, and the use of some incoming goods like precious metals and electronics as inputs for exported items.

Over the past three months, India’s goods imports have scaled fresh highs twice, hitting an all-time high of $64.34 billion in August, which was subsequently eclipsed by October’s tally of $66.34 billion. While August clocked the second highest monthly merchandise trade deficit, the gap was $27.14 billion in October, the third highest on record, aided by a 28-month high 17.5% uptick in exports.

In August, record gold imports had fuelled the import bill, while October’s imports were driven by both gold and oil imports, that had risen 62% and 46.4%, respectively from September’s levels.

Between April and October, goods imports are up 5.8% at $416.9 billion, while outbound shipments grew by a more modest 3.2% to $252.2 billion, lifting the deficit to $164.6 billion from just under $150 billion last year.

“We need not be unnecessarily worried about rising imports or take a mercantilist view about trade that a few countries had once taken against free trade, thinking it is always better to export more and import less and keep a positive trade balance,” a top Commerce Ministry official said in response to a query from The Hindu on the import bill spikes.

“If everybody starts saying ‘We will export more and import less’, then, trade will not happen. Some countries have to export more and some have to import more. What is material is the nature of those imports,” he noted.

For exporting finished goods in sectors like electronics, India may require certain imports to build up the value chain. “Once we develop the manufacturing capabilities and ecosystem, the story changes as it did in automobiles,” the official pointed out. India, he emphasised, should be more focused on raising exports which would also enable higher imports.

Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal echoed this sentiment on November 19. “A lot of our imports are directly correlated to our exports so when you look at the number of months of imports our foreign exchange reserves can support, you need to calibrate that,” the minister said at the CITIC CLSA India Forum.

Indicating the Ministry may conduct a study on this aspect of imported inputs aiding exported , the minister noted: “Let’s say, if we are importing $30-40 billion of gems and jewels, directly adding value here and then exporting them, or the $15-17 billion of mobile phones that we export, for which $10-12 billion of componets are being imported…”

Beyond such imports, Mr. Goyal said there are only three-four other things India is really importing — pulses and edible oils like palm oil, crude petroleum, coking coal needed for steel production and a ‘little bit of thermal coal for port-based power plants’.

“I think there’s enough coal in India so we can do away with that. Then add some gold of about $50 billion, it’s not a problem. So if one looks at the India import basket – you will find there’s not much… Our export of marine and food products was $55 billion last year, much more than our import of pulses and edible oils,” he pointed out. Moreover, with services exports yielding a rising trade surplus, the net current account deficit is still about 1% of GDP, which the minister asserted was not “serious enough to be a concern” for the economy.

The trade official quoted earlier said India’s economy is growing faster than the world so consumption and import demand is higher. “If you look at the U.S., it maintains a very huge deficit with other countries, but their economy is still doing extremely well,” he pointed out.

“When you look at imports, you should be able to only finance those imports. So currently, if you look at our imports, remittances, FDI inflows, and our foreign exchange reserves, we are in a very comfortable position to deal with imports,” the official underlined.



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Goods exports drop 9.32% to $34.71 bn in August https://artifex.news/article68651343-ece/ Tue, 17 Sep 2024 10:37:46 +0000 https://artifex.news/article68651343-ece/ Read More “Goods exports drop 9.32% to $34.71 bn in August” »

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Photo used for illustration purpose only.
| Photo Credit: The Hindu

India’s goods exports dropped 9.32% to $34.71 billion in August, while the import bill expanded 3.3% to $64.36 billion.

The trade deficit widened to a ten-month high of $29.65 billion, reckoned to be the second highest monthly gap in goods trade.

“Gold imports more than doubled from $4.9 billion a year ago to $10.06 billion this August. Trade deficit should not be a matter of concern for a developing economy and you should not compare the deficits of developed countries with fast growing countries like India,” said Commerce Secretary Sunil Barthwal.

“To the extent there are no foreign exchange issues, it should not matter,” he asserted.

On the spike in gold imports, Trade Ministry officials said “Gold prices have declined globally and there has also been an import duty cut. Moreover, this is the time of the year that jewellers start stocking up for the festive and wedding season.”



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India’s H1 trade with China declines amid slowdown https://artifex.news/article67076072-ece/ Thu, 13 Jul 2023 13:43:05 +0000 https://artifex.news/article67076072-ece/ Read More “India’s H1 trade with China declines amid slowdown” »

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India’s trade with China has declined in the first half of 2023 after more than two years of record growth. Image used for representation purpose only. File
| Photo Credit: K.K. Mustafah

India’s trade with China declined in the first half of 2023 after more than two years of record growth, part of a broader slump in China’s trade performance that has underlined a sharp slowdown in the world’s second-largest economy

Two-way trade reached $66.02 billion in the first half, data from China’s General Administration of Customs (GAC) showed on Thursday. India’s imports from China slid 0.9% to $56.53 billion, while exports to its northern neighbour fell by 0.6% to $9.49 billion.

India’s imports of Chinese goods were $57.51 billion in the first half of 2022.

However, India’s trade deficit — the largest it has with any country — did not narrow substantially because exports to China also declined due to weak demand. The January-June trade stood at $47.04 billion, marginally narrower than H1 2022’s $47.94 billion.

China’s overall H1 exports declined by 12.4%, a drop that exceeded most economists’ expectations. The trade slump is expected to reinforce concerns that China’s brief recovery, after emerging in January from three months of harsh COVID-19 curbs, is already running out of steam.

India’s trade with China in 2023 may see a rare decline after years of breakneck growth, with the first year of the pandemic being an exception. Trade rebounded to historic highs in 2021 and 2022. In 2022, trade reached a record $135.98 billion, driven by a 21% rise in imports into India. The trade deficit crossed $100 billion for the first time last year. India’s biggest imports from China have included active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs), chemicals, machinery, auto components, and medical supplies.



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