The rupee depreciated 28 paise to 94.77 against the U.S. dollar in early trade on Thursday (May 7, 2026) as market sentiment took a dramatic turn after reports emerged that the U.S. and Iran are discussing a 14-point Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) aimed at reducing tensions and reopening negotiations.

Forex traders said Brent oil prices, which had fallen to $98 on the U.S.-Iran peace deal, edged slightly higher to $101 per barrel after investors weighed the prospects for a West Asia peace deal.

Moreover, factors such as unabated foreign capital outflows amid rising geopolitical uncertainties further dented investor sentiment.

At the interbank foreign exchange market, the rupee opened at 94.77 against the U.S. dollar, registering a fall of 28 paise over its previous close.

On Wednesday (May 6, 2026), the rupee appreciated 69 paise to close at 94.49 against the U.S. dollar.

“Markets are currently focused on the critical 48-hour window during which the U.S. expects Tehran’s formal response through Pakistani mediators,” said CR Forex Advisors MD Amit Pabari.

U.S. President Donald Trump on Wednesday (May 6, 2026) threatened Iran with more bombing if it doesn’t reopen the Strait of Hormuz, amid a report that the warring sides were nearing an agreement to end the war.

U.S. media outlet Axios reported, quoting U.S. officials and two other sources, that the U.S. and Iran were getting close to a one-page memorandum of understanding to end the war and set a framework for more detailed nuclear negotiations.

The U.S. expects Iranian responses on several key points over the next 48 hours, Axios reported, adding that nothing has been agreed yet. This was the closest the parties had been to an agreement since the war began.

Meanwhile, the dollar index, which gauges the greenback’s strength against a basket of six currencies, was trading at 98.01, down 0.01%.

Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, was trading higher by 0.65% at $101.83 per barrel in futures trade.

On the domestic equity market front, the 30-share benchmark index Sensex declined 160.24 points to 77,798.28 in early trade, while the Nifty was down 30.25 points to 24,300.70.

Foreign Institutional Investors offloaded equities worth ₹5,834.90 crore on Wednesday (May 6, 2026), according to exchange data.

On the domestic macroeconomic front, the country’s goods and services exports rose 4.6% to an all-time high of $863.11 billion during 2025-26, up from $825.26 billion in 2024-25, despite global economic uncertainties, according to revised commerce ministry data.

Merchandise exports grew 0.93% to $441.78 billion in the last fiscal year from $437.70 billion in 2024-25, the data showed.

The rupee depreciated 32 paise to an all-time low of 89.85 against the U.S. dollar in early trade on Tuesday (December 2, 2025), weighed down by the broad strength of the American currency in overseas markets and persistent foreign fund outflows.

Forex traders said strong dollar demand from corporates, importers and foreign portfolio investors pressurised the rupee. Moreover, elevated crude oil prices further dented investor sentiments.

At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened at 89.70 against the U.S. dollar before dropping to record low level of 89.85, down 32 paise from its previous close.

On Monday (December 1, 2025), the rupee after sinking to 89.79 in intraday trade, settled at 89.53 against the U.S. dollar.

“The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has been selling dollars in the market, but it has also bought dollars when Indian rupee rose thus keeping the demand intact,” said Anil Kumar Bhansali, head of treasury and executive director Finrex Treasury Advisors LLP.

Mr. Bhansali further noted that, the fundamentals of the Indian economy like a high Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth of 8.2% have been overweighed by the dollar demand.

“The uncertainties surrounding the India-U.S. trade deal have not helped the matters and have actually aggravated the dollar buying syndrome,” Mr. Bhansali said.

Meanwhile, the dollar index, which gauges the greenback’s strength against a basket of six currencies, was trading at 99.41.

Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, was trading lower by 0.03% at $63.15 per barrel in futures trade. On the domestic equity market front, the benchmark sensitive index Sensex declined 223.84 points or 0.26% at 85,418.06, while the Nifty was trading lower by 59 points or 0.23% at 26,116.75.

Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) sold equities worth ₹1,171.31 crore on Monday (December 2, 2025), according to exchange data.