Nobel Institute suspects leak before Machado’s win, ‘highly likely an espionage’

admin — Sun, 12 Oct 2025 06:12:00 +0000

Venezuelan Opposition leader Maria Corina Machado. File
| Photo Credit: Reuters

A potential leak that preceded the announcement of the Nobel Peace Prize to Venezuelan Opposition leader Maria Corina Machado was “highly likely” the result of espionage, the Nobel Institute told Norwegian media on Saturday (October 11, 2025).

The odds of Ms. Machado winning the prize jumped from 3.75% to nearly 73% overnight from Thursday (October 9, 2025) to Friday (October 10, 2025) on the predictive betting platform Polymarket. But no expert or media outlet had mentioned her as being among the favourites for the prize, which was announced just a few hours later in Oslo.

“Highly likely it’s espionage,” the director of the Nobel Institute and secretary of the Nobel Committee, Kristian Berg Harpviken, told Norway’s TV2 television.

On Friday (October 10), the head of the Nobel committee said he didn’t believe Ms. Machado’s name had been leaked. “I don’t think there have ever been any leaks in the entire history of the prize. I can’t imagine that’s the case,” Committee chairman Jorgen Watne Frydnes told the NTB news agency.

Mr. Harpviken said the institute would nevertheless investigate and “where necessary, we will further tighten security”. Espionage “could make it appear as if someone on the inside deliberately leaked information. That is not likely,” he said.

“It’s too certain to say for sure, but it’s no secret that the Nobel Institute is subject to espionage,” he said. “It is obvious that the institution is of interest to actors who want to acquire information, both states and other organisations.” He added, “The motives can be both political and economic. This has been going on for many decades.”

Mr. Harpviken did not respond to AFP’s requests for comment.

An extremely limited number of people know in advance the name of the laureate chosen by the five members of the Nobel Committee. In the past, unexpected names of Nobel nominees have emerged in the Norwegian media, fuelling speculation about possible leaks. But this has not been the case in recent years.

Ms. Machado, an Opposition leader barred from running in Venezuela’s 2024 presidential elections, was awarded “for her tireless work promoting democratic rights for the people of Venezuela and for her struggle to achieve a just and peaceful transition from dictatorship to democracy”, the Committee said.

The Nobel Peace Prize has long been coveted by U.S. President Donald Trump, whose office called the Committee’s decision to award it to Ms. Machado instead of him a sign of “politics over peace”.

Published – October 12, 2025 11:42 am IST

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Who is Maria Corina Machado, 2025 Nobel Peace laureate?

admin — Fri, 10 Oct 2025 13:24:00 +0000

Venezuelan Opposition leader Maria Corina Machado won the Nobel Peace Prize on Friday (October 10, 2025) for promoting democratic rights in her country and her struggle to achieve a transition to democracy, the Norwegian Nobel Committee said.

Maria Corina Machado (58) was born in Caracas, Venezuela, on October 7, 1967. She is an industrial engineer by training, and her father was a prominent businessman in Venezuela’s steel industry. Her upper-class roots have made her a target of criticism from Venezuela’s governing socialist party.

Maria Corina Machado went into ‘hiding’

Ms. Machado won a resounding victory in the Opposition’s primary election in 2023 and her rallies attracted large crowds, but a ban from holding public office prevented her from running for President against Nicolas Maduro in an election in 2024 and she went into hiding.

The country’s electoral authority and top court say Ms. Maduro, whose time in office has been marked by a deep economic and social crisis, won the election, though they have never published detailed tallies.

Ms. Machado emerged from hiding to make a brief appearance during a protest before Mr. Maduro’s inauguration in January. She was briefly arrested and then freed.

Political awakening

In 2002, while working in a steel and rebar maker owned by her family, she founded a group called Sumate — initially focused on vote monitoring but which evolved into a key Opposition group over time.

In 2012, two years after her family’s business was expropriated by the government of Hugo Chavez, she was a candidate for the first time in an Opposition primary to run against Chavez, a contest ultimately won by Henrique Capriles.

In 2023, she embarked on a fresh presidential run, fuelled by threadbare campaign events, mostly in smaller towns, which ultimately propelled her to victory in the party’s primary, winning more than 2 million votes.

Her campaign tour, undertaken by car or sometimes on foot, with limited resources, brought her closer to her supporters even as a government prohibition on her candidacy forced her party to pass the torch to ally Edmundo Gonzalez, a little-known former diplomat and academic.

Closeness with comrades

Mr. Gonzalez, currently exiled in Madrid, shared a video on social media where he can be seen talking to Ms. Machado and celebrating her Nobel Prize.

¡Nuestra querida Maria Corina Machado, galardonada con el Premio Nobel de la Paz 2025! Merecidísimo reconocimiento a la larga lucha de una mujer y de todo un pueblo por nuestra libertad y democracia. ¡La primer Nobel de Venezuela! ¡Enhorabuena @mariacorinaya, Venezuela será… pic.twitter.com/jpmrUEujtL

— Edmundo González (@EdmundoGU) October 10, 2025

“I’m in shock. I can’t believe this… My God!” Ms. Machado can be heard saying through her cell phone.

Mr. Gonzalez, who sought diplomatic refuge and moved to Spain in September 2024 after claiming he could have been jailed or tortured had he stayed in Venezuela, has sought to maintain a close relationship with Ms. Machado. She has said they often chat about the “fight for liberty”.

Mr. Gonzalez was widely seen as the victor in the 2024 presidential election, but Mr. Maduro’s government declared him the winner and he has retained power. A number of countries do not recognise Mr. Maduro’s government as legitimate, including the U.S. and the European Union.

Advocate of liberal economic reforms

Ms. Machado advocates for liberal economic reforms, including the privatisation of state-owned enterprises such as PDVSA, Venezuela’s oil company. She also supports the creation of welfare programmes aimed at aiding the country’s poorest citizens.

Collective struggle

“I hope you understand this is a movement; this is an achievement of a whole society,” Ms. Machado said in a call where she was officially informed that she had won the Peace Prize.

Though sometimes criticised for being stubborn — even by her own mother — Ms. Machado rarely speaks about herself in public. Instead, she frames her campaign as a collective struggle for redemption and unity, aiming to inspire hope among Venezuelans weary of economic hardship and social decay.

Her political activism has come at a cost, leaving her isolated, as nearly all of her senior advisers have been detained or forced to leave the country. Ms. Machado herself has accused Mr. Maduro’s administration of operating as a “criminal mafia”.

Published – October 10, 2025 06:54 pm IST