Prime Minister Balendra Shah.
| Photo Credit: PTI

Nepal is set to have the weakest Opposition it has seen in recent history.

The Rastriya Swatantra Party (RSP) swept the March 5 elections, securing 182 seats in the 275-member Parliament, just two short of a two-thirds majority. Established parties such as the Nepali Congress (NC) and the CPN-UML, which have dominated Nepali politics since 1990, have been reduced to 38 and 25 seats, respectively.

The unprecedented mandate gives the RSP an opportunity to push legislation through and take decisions without significant hindrance. Analysts, however, caution that such a lopsided Parliament carries risks.

Chandrakishore, a political commentator, says parliamentary deliberations are a cornerstone of democracy, and it is in Parliament that the government of the day is held accountable.

“With a weak Opposition, the government may act waywardly and take wilful decisions,” he said. “This could test democratic norms.”

Ballot counting is over in Nepal after the March 5 election—the first the country has held since the Gen Z protests of September last year—and the electorate has delivered a massive mandate to the RSP, a party barely four years old.

While this mandate puts pressure on the RSP, with Balendra Shah — known as a disruptor eager for quick action and poised to become Prime Minister — in a central role to deliver decisively, analysts warn that if the government focuses excessively on speed, it could undermine the very institutional framework that enabled this victory.

The new Parliament is set to have six parties: the ruling RSP, the main opposition Nepali Congress, and the UML. The other three parties are the Nepali Communist Party (17 seats), the Shram Shakti Party (7), and the Rastriya Prajatantra Party (5). One member has been elected as an independent.

Observers note the irony that the same parties which fostered a culture of Opposition-less governance in Nepal have now been relegated to a weak Opposition.

In 2022, the NC emerged as the single largest party under an alliance with the Maoists, while the UML finished second. Maoist chair Pushpa Kamal Dahal, however, joined forces with UML leader KP Sharma Oli to become Prime Minister. When the vote of confidence came up, the NC supported Dahal, effectively giving his government close to a two-thirds majority. Parliament was left with no meaningful Opposition — a role the NC could have played.

In 2024, the NC and UML joined hands to unseat Dahal and form a government. Critics called the move unparliamentary, as the two largest parties ended up leading the government together, leaving the Maoists and smaller parties as a weak Opposition.

“The culture of Opposition-less governance established then has now become a reality — it was engineered by the old parties, but today it comes by electoral mandate,” said Rajendra Dahal, a journalist who has extensively covered Nepal’s parliamentary politics.

He added that concerns about democratic accountability could grow if other institutions fail to perform their role. “The concern now is what if the mainstream media fails to play its role at a time when civil society seems to be non-existent,” he said. “That will leave social media to help keep the government in check.”

With many long-serving leaders from the NC and the UML routed in the election, only a handful of experienced leaders from these parties are headed to Parliament. It remains unclear who will represent these parties — along with other opposition groups — under the proportional representation system.

Nepal elects 165 members to the House directly and 110 through proportional representation.

The youth-led protests last year demanded an end to corruption and the establishment of good governance. As many as 77 people lost their lives during the demonstrations, including 19 killed in police firing on September 8.

The call for change — and the growing belief that meaningful reform was impossible under the old guard — became so strong in the run-up to the election that the established parties and their prominent leaders faced an unprecedented drubbing.

Among those defeated were KP Sharma Oli, former Prime Minister and UML chair, and Gagan Thapa, a prominent leader of the Nepali Congress, along with heads of several other traditional parties. Pushpa Kamal Dahal, a former Maoist leader who now heads the Nepali Communist Party, is the only former Prime Minister to have survived the RSP wave.

Madhesh-based regional parties have also been decimated, leaving them with no representation in Parliament.

Yet another paradox the post-vote politics has produced is that for years, Nepalis had been seeking a stable government that could complete its full term; now that such a government appears likely, questions about accountability and democratic norms have begun to surface.

“The vigilance that Parliament should maintain may have to be maintained from the streets,” Mr. Chandrakishore said. “If decisions are not grounded in institutions, the democratic system will be strained.”

Some analysts believe the role of the Opposition should be measured not just by numbers, but by the moral authority they can exercise. 

Rajendra Phuyal, former secretary of the National Assembly, says the current Opposition, with new faces free of old baggage, may question the governing party with greater courage and moral strength.

“We need not see the Opposition numerically only; how effectively those on the other side of the aisle can play their role is more important,” he said.

Published – March 11, 2026 06:05 pm IST

Newly-elected Prime Minister of Nepal’s interim government Sushila Karki (C) arrives at the prime minister’s office in Kathmandu. File
| Photo Credit: AFP