Tariff war will worsen economy more than COVID-19 pandemic: Kerala Finance Minister K.N. Balagopal

admin — Tue, 05 Aug 2025 08:59:00 +0000

Economist M.A. Oommen speaking at the seminar ‘Post-COVID Development Challenges and Response: Kerala through the lens of State budgets’ organised by the Gulati Institute of Finance and Taxation in Thiruvananthapuram on Tuesday. Finance Minister K.N. Balagopal is also seen
| Photo Credit: special arrangement

Kerala Finance Minister K.N. Balagopal has warned that Kerala needs to prepare well to tackle the ‘tariff war’ looming over the economy, propelled by the recent tariff policies of the United States and other global players.

Mr. Balagopal was speaking after inaugurating a two-day seminar ‘Post-COVID Development Challenges and Response: Kerala through the lens of State budgets’ organized by the Gulati Institute of Finance and Taxation (GIFT) in Thiruvananthapuram on Tuesday (August 5, 2025).

“It has to be examined how these policies impact the Indian economy and specifically Kerala, whose exports cover multiple sectors,” he said.

The Finance Minister suggested that the academic community organise a roundtable discussion on the implications of these policies for India and Kerala to generate clarity on what lies ahead for the economy.

‘Dangerous situation’ ahead

Mr. Balagopal said he perceived a “dangerous situation” ahead, referring to recent demands that ‘India should reduce its tariffs.’

“The tariff war looming over us will worsen our economy further,” he said, adding that the influx of imports at low tariffs would create an economic situation “much worse than the COVID-19 pandemic.”

M.A. Oommen, eminent economist and Distinguished Professor at GIFT who chaired the session, underscored the need for Kerala to focus on the protection and conservation of its rich biodiversity, tackle the spectre of corruption and nurture the public sector enterprises. Mr. Oommen lauded Mr. Balagopal for an “excellent linear programming exercise” in steering Kerala’s economy through a period of fiscal stress.

Pointing out that major challenges lay ahead for the economy in the years ahead, he urged Left democratic forces to rise up to the occasion.

C. Balagopal, chairman, Kerala State Industrial Development Corporation (KSIDC), said current policies and public finance constraints should be understood within the framework of whether government policies are promoting the growth of value addition in sectors, and what needs to be done to generate more value addition in them. “How the sectoral distribution of the gross state domestic product (GSDP) and the State meeting total factor productivity (TFP) are pertinent questions,” he said.

Additional Chief Secretary (Finance) K.R. Jyothilal, GIFT director K.J. Joseph and GIFT registrar Saraf A. also spoke.

Senior economists and planning experts are attending the seminar which focusses on development issues that Kerala has been facing since the pandemic.

Published – August 05, 2025 02:29 pm IST

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16th Finance Commission: Kerala set to host Finance Ministers’ Conclave in Thiruvananthapuram

admin — Wed, 11 Sep 2024 07:23:47 +0000

Kerala Finance Minister K.N. Balagopal (file)
| Photo Credit: S. MAHINSHA

Centre-State financial relations, grievances regarding cuts in allocation and the need for a united front to secure a fair share in the 16th Finance Commission will take centre stage in Thiruvananthapuram on Thursday (September 12, 2024) at a one-day conclave to be attended by Finance Ministers of four southern States and Punjab.

Kerala, which is organising the Finance Ministers’ Conclave, sees it as a platform for Opposition-ruled States to thrash out their positions with respect to the 16th Finance Commission headed by Arvind Panagariya. Telangana Deputy Chief Minister and Finance Minister Mallu Bhatti Vikramarka, Karnataka Revenue Minister Krishna Byre Gowda, Punjab Finance Minister Harpal Singh Cheema, Tamil Nadu Finance Minister Thangam Thennarasu and Kerala Finance Minister K.N. Balagopal will be attending the conference along with leading economists and planning experts.

Kerala Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan is scheduled to open the conclave at Hotel Hyatt Regency here at 10 a.m. Leader of Opposition V.D. Satheesan also will address the conclave.

Centre’s stands contradictory: Balagopal

Mr. Balagopal said the conclave is being organised against the backdrop of the Union government’s stands that contradict the spirit of fiscal federalism and sustainable centre-State relations.

Preserving the sanctity of tax devolution, the Centre’s increasing reliance on cesses, Finance Commission norms for the division of resources, and surcharges and States’ grievances concerning borrowing limits are expected to come up in the discussions on Thursday.

It may be recalled that Kerala, accusing the Centre of placing a financial embargo on it, has approached the Supreme Court against the borrowing constraints imposed on it.

Mr. Balagopal said a “vertical and horizontal” imbalance persists in the transfer of resources. “Kerala is taking the lead to organise this conclave in the context of the challenges that fiscal federalism faces today. Ideation with regard to presenting the development and financial issues faced by the States before the 16th Finance Commission is the primary aim of the conclave. A report of the 15th Finance Commission has observed that States shouldered 62.4% of the aggregate expenditure, while 63% of the revenues goes to the Centre. States should receive at least 50%,” Mr. Balagopal said.

In Kerala’s case, the recommendations made by the previous Finance Commissions have been unfavourable, according to Mr. Balagopal.

Cut in tax devolution

The State suffered a drastic reduction in tax devolution from 3.87% under the 10th Finance Commission to 1.92% under the 15th Commission. In contrast, Uttar Pradesh’s share rose from 17.8% under the 10th Commission to 17.9% under the 15th, he said.

Central transfers constitute only 21% of Kerala’s overall revenue at present, according to the State. While Kerala’s own revenue rose by ₹30,000 crore from ₹41,000 crore in 2020-21 to ₹77,000 crore in 2023-24, the State is not benefiting from it due to the cuts in Central transfers, according to Mr. Balagopal.

Cesses and surcharges levied by the Centre as a proportion of the total revenues have risen from 9.4% in 2011-12 to 22.8% in 2022-23. Kerala has maintained that the trend harms the interests of States as these levies are not part of the divisible pool.

Presenting the 2024-25 State Budget in February 2024, Mr. Balagopal noted that “Kerala cannot remain a mute spectator against the hostile approach of the Central government which is pushing the State towards the worst financial crisis in its history.”

Kerala has also repeatedly urged the Centre to amend its “discriminatory stand” on ‘off-Budget’ borrowings made by the Kerala Infrastructure Investment Fund Board (KIIFB) and the Kerala Social Security Pension Ltd. The State has asked the Centre not to whittle down its borrowing limit citing these borrowings.

On Thursday afternoon, Mr. Balagopal will chair a discussion at the conclave. Arvind Subramanian, former Chief Economic Advisor to the Government of India, will deliver the keynote address. Senior bureaucrats and Finance department officials from the five States and leading economists and planning experts, including Prabhat Patnaik, Kerala Planning Board vice chairman V. K. Ramachandran, former Union Cabinet Secretary K.M. Chandrasekhar, former Kerala Finance Minister T.M. Thomas Isaac, and members of past Finance Commissions are expected to take part in the discussions planned on Thursday afternoon.