India’s forex market – Artifex.News https://artifex.news Stay Connected. Stay Informed. Thu, 07 Aug 2025 04:49:00 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=7.0 https://artifex.news/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/cropped-cropped-app-logo-32x32.png India’s forex market – Artifex.News https://artifex.news 32 32 Rupee rises 5 paise against U.S. dollar in early trade https://artifex.news/article69904104-ece/ Thu, 07 Aug 2025 04:49:00 +0000 https://artifex.news/article69904104-ece/ Read More “Rupee rises 5 paise against U.S. dollar in early trade” »

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According to forex experts, amid rising tensions with the U.S. and economic concerns, the rupee remained vulnerable and could see further downside as uncertainty continues to mount. File
| Photo Credit: The Hindu

The rupee traded in a narrow range and appreciated 5 paise to 87.67 against the U.S. dollar in early trade on Thursday (August 7, 2025), after U.S. President Donald Trump slapped an additional 25 per cent duty — doubling it to 50 per cent — on Indian goods over New Delhi’s continued imports of Russian oil.

Forex traders said Mr. Trump’s aggressive move, which kicks in 21 days, threatens to raise total duties on select Indian exports to as high as 50 per cent — making them among the most heavily taxed U.S. imports globally.

At the interbank foreign exchange, the domestic unit opened at 87.69 against the U.S. dollar then touched an initial high of 87.67, higher by 5 paise over its previous close.

On Wednesday (August 6), the rupee rebounded from a record low level and closed 16 paise higher at 87.72 against the U.S. dollar.

Mr. Trump’s tariffs on Indian exports are likely to hit sectors such as textiles, marine and leather exports hard and was slammed by India as “unfair, unjustified and unreasonable”.

With this action singling out New Delhi for the Russian oil imports, India will attract the highest U.S. tariff of 50 per cent along with Brazil.

The United States has imposed this additional tariff or penalty for Russian imports only on India while other buyers such as China and Turkey have so far escaped such harsh measures. The 30 per cent tariff on China and 15 per cent on Turkey is lower than India’s 50 per cent.

“The escalation adds to concerns over the economic impact. If no breakthrough happens within the 21-day window, FY26 GDP growth may have to be revised below 6 per cent, factoring in a 40–50 basis point hit — twice the earlier estimate from tariff effects,” CR Forex Advisors MD Amit Pabari said.

Mr. Pabari further noted that amid these rising tensions and economic concerns, the rupee remains vulnerable and could see further downside as uncertainty continues to mount.

Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of India opted to hold the repo rate steady at 5.50 per cent and retained a neutral stance during its latest policy review.

“The decision suggests policymakers are adopting a wait-and-watch approach as they weigh the uncertain trade backdrop against an already slowing global economy,” Mr. Pabari said, adding that the room for manoeuvre is tightening.

India’s foreign exchange reserves fell by $9.3 billion to $688.9 billion as of August 1, reflecting Central Bank’s active rupee defence operations amid rising external stress, he said.

Meanwhile, Brent crude prices rose 0.99 per cent to $67.55 per barrel in futures trade.

The dollar index, which gauges the greenback’s strength against a basket of six currencies, rose 0.04 per cent to 98.21.

In the domestic equity market, Sensex dropped 335.71 points to 80,208.28 in early trade, while the Nifty declined 114.15 points to 24,460.05.

Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) offloaded equities worth ₹4,999.10 crore on a net basis on Wednesday, according to exchange data.



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Rupee falls 5 paise to all-time low of 84.37 against US dollar in early trade https://artifex.news/article68844052-ece/ Fri, 08 Nov 2024 05:05:16 +0000 https://artifex.news/article68844052-ece/ Read More “Rupee falls 5 paise to all-time low of 84.37 against US dollar in early trade” »

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An employee counts U.S. dollar bills at a foreign exchange counter inside a bank in New Delhi. File photo
| Photo Credit: REUTERS

The rupee fell 5 paise to an all-time low of 84.37 against the US dollar in early trade on Friday (November 8, 2024), weighed down by persistent foreign fund outflows and a muted trend in domestic equities.

Forex traders said the US Federal Reserve’s recent decision to cut interest rates signals a shift in the global financial landscape. Moreover, with Donald Trump’s tax and trade policies influencing global markets, volatility could re-enter the rupee’s trajectory.

At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened at 84.32 against the greenback, then it fell further to an all-time low of 84.37, registering a rise of 5 paise over its previous close.

On Thursday, the rupee slipped 1 paisa to close at a fresh lifetime low of 84.32 against the US dollar.

“The spotlight will now be on the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and how effectively it navigates this shifting currency landscape. In such a dynamic environment, only those who adapt swiftly will thrive in the market ahead,” CR Forex Advisors Managing Director Amit Pabari said.

In its latest monetary policy announcement, the US Fed reduced its benchmark rate by 0.25 basis points to a target range of 4.5 per cent-4.75 per cent.

In its accompanying statement, the Fed adopted a neutral-to-dovish tone, acknowledging balanced risks in inflation and employment.

Meanwhile, the dollar index, which gauges the greenback’s strength against a basket of six currencies, was trading marginally higher by 0.02 per cent at 104.53.

Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, fell 0.65 per cent to USD 75.14 per barrel in futures trade.

“In this dynamic environment, volatility in the USD/INR pair is expected, with the RBI likely maintaining a range between 83.80 and 84.50. If the dollar’s momentum stalls amid future Fed rate cuts and weakening investor confidence, the rupee could gradually strengthen toward the lower end of this range,” Pabari said.

On the domestic equity market front, Sensex declined 14.23 points, or 0.02 per cent, to 79,527.56 points. The Nifty fell 15.45 points, or 0.06 per cent, to 24,183.90 points.

Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) were net sellers in the capital markets on Thursday, as they offloaded shares worth Rs 4,888.77 crore, according to exchange data.



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