Goods exports dipped 2.6% from last September to hit a three-month low of $34.47 billion. File image for representation.
| Photo Credit: C.V. Subrahmanyam

Even though goods exports declined for the seventh time in eight months in September, India’s weak foreign trade performance so far this year appeared to be turning around as per data released by the Commerce Ministry on Friday, which included revisions worth over $5 billion to August’s trade tally.

While goods exports dipped 2.6% from last September to hit a three-month low of $34.47 billion, imports dropped by a sharper 15% to $53.84 billion, and were 10.4% below August’s updated import bill of $60.1 billion, which marked an 11-month high.

August’s goods exports were ramped up by a record $4 billion to $38.45 billion, the highest in five months and reflecting a 3.88% growth over last August. This was the first uptick after six months of contraction and Commerce Secretary Sunil Barthwal expressed hope that the second half of 2023-24 will bring sustained growth in goods exports.

Revised figures

The revised goods trade deficit in August stood at $21.65 billion, instead of the 10-month high of $24.2 billion reported earlier, and eased further to $19.37 billion in September. The overall goods deficit in the second quarter of 2023-24 is now $59.4 billion, just 5.6% over the first quarter tally, belying economists’ fears that weaker trade balances originally reported for July and August may exacerbate the country’s current account deficit.

On a year-on-year basis, September’s goods trade deficit was 31% lower and narrowed the tally for the first half of the year to $115.9 billion, 17.7% lower than a year ago. This is because of a steeper 12.2% decline in imports between April and September 2023, in comparison to exports which are now down 8.8%.

Estimates for exports of services in September also indicated a mild 0.5% uptick, compared to a 0.4% decline in August. The final services exports numbers for these two months will be released by the Reserve Bank of India later.

Import bill down

“So far this year, oil exports have declined 17.5%, but non-oil exports have held up better and dropped only 6.3%,” said Bank of Baroda economist Aditi Gupta. However, non-oil and non-gold imports, a proxy for domestic demand, have remained weak and declined by 10% over the last year, she pointed out.

Top Ministry officials, however, stressed that the volumes of inbound shipments remained stable even as the year-on-year decline in prices of commodities, especially petroleum and edible oils, caused the import bill to dip in September. Lower prices also pared the value of petroleum exports, though shipment volumes were 22.1% higher between April and August.

Among major sectors, the exports of gems and jewellery, down 24.3% so far in 2023-24, were the worst hit, followed by chemicals (-15.8%) and textiles (-8.6%). Imports of gold, whose prices have risen 8% this year, are up 9.8%, and may rise further due to festive spending in this quarter.

Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman. File
| Photo Credit: PTI

Amid the sustained slump in India’s exports, the Goods and Services Tax (GST) Council has cleared a few measures to boost foreign trade, including enabling tax credits for services exporters receiving payments in rupees, critical for trade with countries like Iran and Russia that face global sanctions.

The government has been pushing for rupee-based trading arrangements with several countries to reduce the dependency on the U.S. dollar, and banks from over 20 nations have opened special rupee (INR) Vostro accounts with Indian banks to remit payments for their imports from India. However, many exporters of such services were being denied input tax credits under the GST regime as the norms required foreign currency receipts to recognise the ‘export’ status.

“The Council has recommended to issue a circular to clarify the admissibility of export remittances received in Special INR Vostro account, as permitted by the Reserve Bank of India, for the purpose of consideration of supply of services to qualify as export of services under the Integrated GST [IGST] Act, 2017,” the Finance Ministry said in a statement after Saturday’s meeting of the GST Council.

There were disputes arising from refund applications, where the GST officers would seek to deny the benefit on the ground that receipt of consideration in INR did not meet the condition prescribed for the purpose of qualifying as ‘exports of services’, explained Sanjay Chhabria, director, indirect tax at Nexdigm.

“This clarification will bring respite to the exporters whose refunds of GST were stuck for a long time on account of the disputes in respect of this particular aspect, and they were also being subjected to GST demands,” said Saurabh Agarwal, tax partner at EY.

Shashi Mathews, partner at Induslaw, said the proposed clarification shall particularly help firms which are seeking to receive export proceeds from Iran or Russia, which have U.S. sanctions imposed on regular remittance routes.

Relief for SEZ suppliers

Separately, the Council also decided to undo the effects of a July 31 notification that had made it difficult for firms supplying goods or services to special economic zones (SEZs) to claim tax refunds.

Mr. Chhabria said this move seeks to rectify an anomaly arising out of an inadvertent omission of such category of supplies from the option of refund with payment of tax, after amendments were made to the IGST Act.

“With the explicit inclusion of such supplies for rebate, the ambiguity on this comes to a rest and helps prevent apprehended potential working capital concerns for domestic industry engaged in SEZ supplies,” remarked Abhishek Jain, indirect tax head and partner at KPMG.

The Council has also recommended issuance of a circular to clarify the place of supply treatment for services entailing transportation of goods, including by mail or courier, in cases where the location of supplier or the location of recipient of services is outside India. The communique is also expected to clarify issues relating to supply of advertising and co-location services.

Industry has been awaiting clarifications on the export of goods by mail or courier for some time now, but the fine print will have to be studied to assess the impact, said Mahesh Jaising, partner and leader, indirect tax, at Deloitte India. “It is unclear if clarifications on advertising and co-location are in relation to export or domestic place of supply,” he added.