Nithin Kamath, founder and CEO of Zerodha, sounded a sharp warning after global commodity markets witnessed an unusually severe meltdown that saw silver crash nearly 30% and gold fall around 15% in a single session, with several metals hitting their lower circuits-the maximum allowable daily decline.

In a detailed post on X, Kamath said the volatility was so extreme that it overwhelmed even robust risk-management systems, leaving some traders losing more than their entire initial margin. He described it as one of those rare occasions where neither traders nor brokers have any escape route when markets move faster than controls can respond.

He noted that all major metals hit lower circuits, underscoring the scale of the disruption, while natural gas, in contrast, hit its upper circuit on the same day – highlighting the unpredictability dominating the market.

As a broker, there are rare days when risk management simply doesn’t work, when markets move so violently that traders lose more than their entire initial margin. When this happens, both the trader and the broker are sitting ducks with no way out.

Yesterday was one of those days… pic.twitter.com/lkfeSleky9

— Nithin Kamath (@Nithin0dha) January 31, 2026

Kamath compared it to the 2020 Covid Pandemic period when crude oil prices briefly turned negative – the only other time in Zerodha’s 16-year history when markets behaved with similar intensity. However, he noted that this time the impact was broader, spanning multiple commodities simultaneously.

Kamath warned that such violent movements are not limited to commodities, adding that a similar collapse could occur in equities, recalling how markets behaved during the 2008 financial crisis. “What happened in commodities yesterday can happen in equities too; we saw it in 2008,” he said.

He reiterated that traders often underestimate leverage risk, stressing that years of gains can be erased in one extreme session when markets gap through circuits.

ALSO READ: Gold And Silver Plunge As Wild Swings Rock Metals Markets

Friday’s crash marked one of the steepest declines in precious metals in recent months. Silver futures plunged nearly 17% to Rs 3.32 lakh per kilogram, while gold futures dropped around 9% to Rs 1.54 lakh per 10 grams as investors rushed to book profits amid weak global cues and a stronger U.S. dollar.

Kamath’s cautionary note serves as a stark reminder of the latent risks in leveraged trading and the limits of technical safeguards when markets behave unpredictably. As commodity markets continue to digest the shock, both traders and brokers are likely to revisit their risk frameworks in light of his warning.

Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman speaks in the Lok Sabha during Budget Session of Parliament, in New Delhi on March 24, 2023.
| Photo Credit: PTI

The Finance Bill 2023 was been passed in Lok Sabha without a discussion and the House was adjourned to meet again on March 27.

Moving amendments to the Finance Bill, Nirmala Sitharaman said, “It has been represented that payments for foreign tours through credit cards are not being captured under the Liberalised Remittance Scheme (LRS) & they escape tax collection at source. The Reserve Bank of India is being requested to look into this with a view to bring credit card payments for foreign tours within the ambit of LRS and tax collection at source thereon.”

Withholding tax on royalties and technical services fee may increase cost of technology import

The withholding tax rate on royalties and fee for technical services paid to non-residents has been raised from 10% to 20%. “This may increase the cost of import of technology in cases where Indian companies are grossing up withholding taxes and any bilateral tax treaty benefits are not available,” said Gouri Puri, partner at Shardul Amarchand Mangaldas & Co.

GST Appellate Tribunals to be set up across country

The Finance Bill has paved the way for setting up GST Appellate Tribunals across the country, with a principal bench in New Delhi and several State benches. The Tribunal will be headed by a former Supreme Court judge or a retired Chief Justice of a High Court. 

Also read: GST appellate tribunal may be headed by a former Supreme Court judge

The measure will have the intended effect of curbing excessive F&O trades only in flat or range-bound markets as when markets are volatile, traders will hope to offset the higher tax by higher payoffs, Mr. Jasani explained. “In the past, such raising of taxes had a temporary minimal impact of F&O volumes. For more effective curbs on volumes, SEBI or stock exchanges may have to link the volumes and Open interest in the futures and options market with the disclosed income or wealth of the participants,” the HDFC Securities official said.

Increase in STT to discourgae excessive trade in F&O

“While the proposed increase in STT will shore up revenues of the Govt to a certain extent, the main idea behind this could be to discourage the excessive trade in F&O segment where a large number of retail traders end up losing money as per a recent SEBI study,” Deepak Jasani, head of retail research at HDFC Securities told The Hindu. “An incidental effect of this could be shifting the F&O trades to SGX, Gift and other locations that do not attract such taxes for participants who have access to them,” he added.

Govt. tweaks Budget proposal to tax distribution from business trusts as income from other sources

In a move that will assuage unit holders of REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts) and InvITs (Infrastructure Investment Trusts), the government has tweaked the Budget proposal to tax distribution from business trust as income from other sources . “This is now proposed to be treated as return of capital by reducing the cost of acquisition of the units, as far as the issue price of the units. Any amount received in excess of the issue price would be taxable as income,” the Ministry explained.

Stakeholders concern on Angel Tax provisions to be addressed for startup investments

While there have been no changes made to the Budget’s Angel Tax provisions for investments in startups, the Finance Ministry has said all concerns raised by stakeholders in implementation of this proposal would be addressed. “The draft rules related to valuation shall be shared with the stakeholders for their inputs in April itself, and exclusions, currently provided to domestic Venture Capital Funds etc, shall also be considered for similar overseas entities,” the Ministry assured.

This will impact all mutual funds that offer schemes with nomenclatures such as conservative hybrid funds, that invest predominantly in debt but have an equity exposure of up to 35% in their portfolios.

“An arbitrage is being created right now where interest income from debt mutual fund (where not more than 35% invested in shares in domestic company) is not distributed and converted into long term capital gains of 20% (with indexation). In some case it comes to even less than 10% due to indexation. Thus many taxpayers are able to reduce their tax liability through this arbitrage,” the Finance Ministry explained

Tax on debt mutual funds

Income from debt mutual funds that invest up to 35% in equity shares of domestic companies will be taxable at applicable rate since income from equities in such funds do not constitute interest income.

Also read: Government scraps long-term tax benefit for debt mutual funds investing less than 35% assets in equity

Securities Transaction Tax raised on F&O contracts from April 1

The Government is raising the Securities Transaction Tax (STT) on futures and options contracts in the stock market from April 1, 2023, and changes to this effect were brought into the Finance Bill cleared by the Lok Sabha today. Options contracts will now attract 0.021% STT from 0.017% earlier and futures will attract a levy of 0.0125%, up from 0.01%